Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Alfredo VivianiData current as of November 02, 2026

Potenza Calcio vs Crotone: match statistics

Potenza Calcio crest
Potenza Calcio
4 : 2half-time 0:2
Crotone crest
Crotone

Potenza Calcio vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Potenza Calcio played against Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The game was played on November 1, 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Final score: 4:2.

Recent form

Potenza Calcio has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Crotone has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Potenza Calcio scores 2.55 goals per game and allows 1.36. Crotone scores 0.91 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 82% of Potenza Calcio's games and 55% of Crotone's. The Over 2.5 rates are 82% and 45%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Potenza Calcio has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.73 per game. Potenza Calcio takes 15.1 shots per game, while Crotone takes 15.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Potenza Calcio leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 1.64 goals per game after halftime. Crotone leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.36 after halftime.

When the teams score

Potenza Calcio's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Crotone, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group C games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Potenza Calcio have won all of their last 5 home matches, while Crotone have failed to win any of their last 5 away games, recording 3 draws and 2 defeats. The hosts average 3 goals per match at home with a 21% shot conversion rate, while the visitors score just 0.8 goals per away game with a 6% conversion rate and fail to score in 40% of matches. In their last 5 games, Potenza scored 13 goals and earned 13 points, compared with Crotone’s 5 goals and 4 points. However, xG calls for caution: Crotone average 1.6 expected goals away from home and concede just 0.87, suggesting their results have been poorer than the quality of chances they create. Despite this, the hosts’ clear edge in finishing and results points to a Potenza win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Potenza have seen both teams score in each of their last 5 matches, while Crotone have done so in 60% of their last 5 games, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. During this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match, as did the visitors, suggesting both defenses have allowed opponents chances to score. Potenza have averaged 2.6 goals recently, compared with 1.0 for Crotone, while the teams’ xG figures stand at 1.58 and 1.69, respectively. Caution is warranted, however: season data show that the hosts failed to score in 50% of their matches and the visitors in 40%, so the edge for BTTS - Yes is not substantial.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Poten­za’s last 5 matches averaged 4.0 goals, with Over 2.5 goals landing in every one; Crotone averaged 2.4 goals, with the line being cleared in 60% of their matches. Potenza scored 13 goals over this period, but its average xG was 1.58, suggesting this high level of finishing should not be fully expected to carry over into the next match. The goal potential is supported by both teams’ average xG: 1.82 for the hosts and 1.60 for the visitors, although their season scoring averages are lower at 1.0 and 0.8 goals. Over 1.5 goals has the strongest backing, having landed in 67% of Potenza’s matches and 60% of Crotone’s, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 40%, respectively. Therefore, I’m backing Over 1.5 goals, while remaining cautious about higher lines despite the hosts’ attacking run.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Potenza have led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and won 4 of them, while Crotone have won just 1 of their last 5. Over this period, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals before half-time compared with 0.8 for the visitors, which supports the prospect of Potenza leading at the break. Their advantage has also been evident after half-time: Potenza averaged 1.2 goals, while Crotone scored just 0.2 in their last 5 matches. Caution is warranted, however, as Crotone have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match over the season, and 60% of their games have ended in a draw. Even so, Potenza’s frequent half-time leads combined with their stronger recent form make a home lead at half-time followed by a home win the most likely HT/FT outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
4 : 0
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
Potenza CalcioCrotone
21Shots23
Potenza CalcioCrotone
10Shots on target10
Potenza CalcioCrotone
2.4xG2.48
Potenza CalcioCrotone
8Corners7
Potenza CalcioCrotone
53Dangerous attacks47
Potenza CalcioCrotone
11Fouls13
Potenza CalcioCrotone
2Cards2
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Potenza CalcioCrotone
2.55Goals scored / game0.91
Potenza CalcioCrotone
1.36Goals allowed / game1.45
Potenza CalcioCrotone
50%Average possession55%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
6.45Shots on target / game4.82
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.09Shots per game15
Potenza CalcioCrotone
6.45Shots on target4.82
Potenza CalcioCrotone
16.9%Shot conversion6.1%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
50%Possession55%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
1.77xG for1.73
Potenza CalcioCrotone
1.52xG against1.24
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Shooting quality

Potenza Calcio: AttackingCrotone: Dominant
Potenza CalcioCrotone
Accuracy (shots on target)43%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Potenza Calcio is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Potenza Calcio · 0.8 pts / game - Crotone

Potenza Calcio
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
73% W18% D9% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-1
2.36 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Crotone
WLLDL
Season result split
9% W36% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-6
0.64 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Potenza Calcio is 180% better for: goals scored per game.

2.55 goals / game - Potenza Calcio · 0.91 goals / game - Crotone

Potenza Calcio is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.36 goals / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.45 goals / game - Crotone

Potenza Calcio scoring profile: very strong

Potenza Calcio scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 games).

Crotone scoring profile: strong

Crotone scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 games), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 games).

28Goals scored (season)10
Potenza CalcioCrotone
15Goals conceded (season)16
Potenza CalcioCrotone
3.91Average goals per game2.36
Potenza CalcioCrotone
15Goals scored (last 5)5
Potenza CalcioCrotone
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Potenza CalcioCrotone

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal55%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
82%2 goals36%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
45%3 goals0%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
36%4 goals0%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal91%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
36%2 goals45%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
9%3 goals9%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
9%4 goals0%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time27%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
27%BTTS in both halves0%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
64%Scored in both halves9%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

BTTS and goal count

82%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
100%BTTS - last 560%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
82%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Potenza Calcio is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.91 pts / game - Potenza Calcio · 1.27 pts / game - Crotone

Potenza Calcio - half-time state
55% leading27% draw18% trailing
Crotone - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.91Points per game (1st half)1.27
Potenza CalcioCrotone
0.91Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Potenza CalcioCrotone
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Potenza CalcioCrotone
1.45Average goals (1st half)1.18
Potenza CalcioCrotone
64%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
27%No goal before half-time64%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per game (2nd half)0.91
Potenza CalcioCrotone
1.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Potenza CalcioCrotone
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Potenza CalcioCrotone
2.45Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Potenza CalcioCrotone
27%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Potenza CalcioCrotone
18%No goal after half-time73%
Potenza CalcioCrotone

Potenza Calcio - second-half results

36% W64% D0% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Crotone - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 9%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Potenza Calcio - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.20
Goals scored / game1.02.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.62.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Crotone - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.60.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Potenza Calcio
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
5
46-60
9
1
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
5
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Potenza Calcio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Potenza CalcioLigaCrotone
Average goals per game▲ 3.912.75▼ 2.36
Both teams scored▲ 82%53%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 82%51%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 18%28%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%71%▼ 55%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%74%• 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / game
1.16
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Potenza CalcioGoalRaul Alessandro Bura
  2. CrotoneSubstitutionOn: Diego RussoOff: Antonino Musso
  3. CrotoneGoalFilippo GrossoAssist: Diego Russo
  4. CrotoneYellow cardPedro Rodríguez Ablanedo
  5. Potenza CalcioGoalGabriele SelleriAssist: Luca Petrungaro
  6. Potenza CalcioGoalManuele CastoraniAssist: Luca Russo
  7. CrotoneSubstitutionOn: Zak RuggieroOff: Pedro Rodríguez Ablanedo
  8. Potenza CalcioGoalLuca PetrungaroAssist: Augusto Bando
  9. Potenza CalcioYellow cardLuca Petrungaro
  10. Potenza CalcioYellow cardAndrea Franzolini
  11. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Jacopo MuranoOff: Gabriele Selleri
  12. CrotoneSubstitutionOn: Enrico BrignolaOff: Kevin Barcella
  13. CrotoneYellow cardDiego Russo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Potenza Calcio's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Crotone. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Crotone
2 : 0
Potenza Calcio
Potenza Calcio
3 : 3
Crotone

FAQ

What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Crotone?

The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 4:2 Crotone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Potenza Calcio and Crotone?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Potenza Calcio won 0, Crotone won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Crotone?

Potenza Calcio score 2.55 goals per game on average and Crotone 0.91. The Serie C Group C average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 55% of Crotone's.

What form are Potenza Calcio and Crotone in?

Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Crotone 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Crotone?

The statistical background for Potenza Calcio vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.