Progreso vs Danubio: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Progreso vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Progreso plays Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for August 30, 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
Recent form
Progreso has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Danubio has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Progreso scores 0.72 goals per game and allows 1.52. Danubio scores 0.88 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Progreso's games and 48% of Danubio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 40%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Danubio has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.15 per game. Progreso takes 8.5 shots per game, while Danubio takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Progreso leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Danubio leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Danubio, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Danubio is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
0.72 goals / game - Progreso · 0.88 goals / game - Danubio
Danubio is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Progreso · 1.24 goals / game - Danubio
Progreso scores in 48% of games (12 of 25 meczów), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
Danubio scores in 56% of games (14 of 25 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Danubio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Danubio is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / game - Progreso · 1.36 pts / game - Danubio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Progreso
Danubio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.24 | 2.36 | ▼ 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Progreso's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Danubio. Games average 2.20 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
When do Progreso and Danubio play?
Progreso face Danubio on August 30, 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Danubio?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 2, Danubio won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Danubio?
Progreso score 0.72 goals per game on average and Danubio 0.88. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Progreso's matches and 48% of Danubio's.
What form are Progreso and Danubio in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Danubio 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Danubio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.