Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Abraham PaladinoData current as of August 13, 2026

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Progreso plays Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.

Recent form

Progreso has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Deportivo Maldonado has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Progreso scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.52. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.65 and allows 1.04. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Progreso's games and 61% of Deportivo Maldonado's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 52%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Deportivo Maldonado has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.17 per game. Progreso takes 8.6 shots per game, while Deportivo Maldonado takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Progreso leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Maldonado leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Progreso's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Deportivo Maldonado, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.39)
(3.14)
(2.06)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0.78Goals scored / game1.65
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
1.52Goals allowed / game1.04
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
48%Average possession52%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
3.17Shots on target / game4.35
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.57Shots per game11.52
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
3.17Shots on target4.35
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
9.1%Shot conversion14.3%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
48%Possession52%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
1.17xG for1.42
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
1.5xG against1.23
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Shooting quality

Progreso: BalancedDeportivo Maldonado: Efficient finishing
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Deportivo Maldonado is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Progreso · 1.2 pts / game - Deportivo Maldonado

Progreso
LLWLL
Season result split
17% W17% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-15
0.70 pts / game · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Deportivo Maldonado
WDLDD
Season result split
52% W26% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-5
1.83 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Maldonado is 112% better for: goals scored per game.

0.78 goals / game - Progreso · 1.65 goals / game - Deportivo Maldonado

Deportivo Maldonado is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.52 goals / game - Progreso · 1.04 goals / game - Deportivo Maldonado

Progreso scoring profile: mixed

Progreso scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).

Deportivo Maldonado scoring profile: very strong

Deportivo Maldonado scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 meczów).

18Goals scored (season)38
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
35Goals conceded (season)24
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
2.3Average goals per game2.7
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
3Goals scored (last 5)7
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

How often they score at least...

52%1 goal87%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
22%2 goals43%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
4%3 goals22%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0%4 goals13%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal65%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
52%2 goals35%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
9%3 goals4%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0%4 goals0%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

61%
Deportivo Maldonado - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 23 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time39%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
9%BTTS in both halves9%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
17%Scored in both halves30%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
40%BTTS - last 560%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Maldonado is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.74 pts / game - Progreso · 1.78 pts / game - Deportivo Maldonado

Progreso - half-time state
13% leading35% draw52% trailing
Deportivo Maldonado - half-time state
43% leading48% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.74Points per game (1st half)1.78
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.96
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.52
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
35%Clean sheet before half-time52%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
70%No goal before half-time30%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

After half-time (2nd half)

0.96Points per game (2nd half)1.65
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
1.04Average goals (2nd half)1.17
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
43%Clean sheet after half-time65%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
61%No goal after half-time52%
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado

Progreso - second-half results

17% W43% R39% P
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results

43% W35% R22% P
41
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Progreso - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Deportivo Maldonado - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.80.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
5
46-60
1
5
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Maldonado
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
4
16-30
11
5
31-45
5
0
46-60
1
5
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

Deportivo Maldonado

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

ProgresoLigaDeportivo Maldonado
Average goals per game 2.302.37 2.70
Both teams scored 43%51% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%45% 52%
Clean sheets 9%28% 35%
Goal before half-time 78%68% 78%
Goal after half-time 74%72% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.05
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Progreso's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Deportivo Maldonado. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado play?

Progreso face Deportivo Maldonado on August 16, 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Deportivo Maldonado won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Progreso score 0.78 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.65. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Progreso's matches and 61% of Deportivo Maldonado's.

What form are Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado in?

Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The statistical background for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.