PSM vs Persita: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
PSM vs Persita: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSM play Persita in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 2 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
PSM: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Persita: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSM scores 1.15 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Persita scores 1.12 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSM 59%, Persita 38%. Over 2.5: PSM 44%, Persita 38%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
PSM has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.26. PSM: 11.1 shots per match, Persita: 10.4.
Match halves
PSM: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65. Persita: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
PSM: 76-90+ (10 goals). Persita: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persita is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - PSM · 0.8 pts / match - Persita
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persita is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - PSM · 1.09 goals / match - Persita
PSM scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Persita keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Persita scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — PSM
Over / Under — Persita
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSM is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - PSM · 1.15 pts / match - Persita
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Persita - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSM
Persita
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.59 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSM 0 - 0 - 1 Persita. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Persita?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 2:4 Persita. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persita?
PSM score 1.15 goals per game on average and Persita 1.12. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of PSM's matches and 38% of Persita's.
What form are PSM and Persita in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Persita 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persita?
The statistical background for PSM vs Persita — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.