PSM vs Persita: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
PSM vs Persita: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSM played against Persita in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on March 2, 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
PSM has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Persita has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
PSM scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.17. Persita scores 1.17 and allows 0.91. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of PSM's games and 39% of Persita's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 39%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSM has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.22 per game. PSM takes 11.1 shots per game, while Persita takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
PSM leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Persita leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSM's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Persita, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced encounter leaning towards a draw. PSM presents poor form at home with only 18% victories in domestic matches; however, they possess a positive goal difference (+1) and higher expected goals (xG 1.34 vs 1.18). Persita fares even worse in away matches, with a win rate of just 27% and a negative goal difference (-4). Both teams have an identical FTS% indicator at the level of 45%, suggesting problems with finishing. The recent form of both teams is dismal (PSM: 0.8 PPG, Persita: 0.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), which increases the probability of a split of points. Given PSM's high percentage of draws at home (45%) and Persita's difficulties on the road, the most probable result is a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSM | Persita | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSM is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - PSM · 0.6 pts / game - Persita
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persita is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - PSM · 1.17 goals / game - Persita
Persita is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - PSM · 0.91 goals / game - Persita
PSM scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Persita keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Persita scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSM
Over / Under - Persita
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSM - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Persita - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSM
Persita
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| PSM | Liga | Persita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 51% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSM's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Persita. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSM vs Persita?
The Liga 1 match finished PSM 2:4 Persita. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persita?
PSM score 1.04 goals per game on average and Persita 1.17. The Liga 1 average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of PSM's matches and 39% of Persita's.
What form are PSM and Persita in?
Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Persita 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persita?
The statistical background for PSM vs Persita — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.