PSV vs Excelsior: match statistics
As the league leader, PSV displays dominant form, especially at their own stadium, where they have won 75% of matches, scoring an average of 3.25 goals while conceding just 1.63 per game. The hosts possess an impressive advantage in ball possession (64%) and shot conversion (15%), which translates to a high xG (2.36). Excelsior performs very poorly in away matches—losing 57% of encounters, keeping zero clean sheets, and holding a goal difference of -9. The visitors are characterized by low efficiency (9%) and an average of just 1.14 goals scored away against 2.43 conceded. The gap in quality between the two teams is immense, further confirmed by the 12-position difference in the table. Considering all statistics, a decisive victory for PSV is the most probable scenario for this match.
PSV vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSV played against Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Recent form
PSV has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Excelsior has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
PSV scores 3.06 goals per game and allows 1.24. Excelsior scores 1.00 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 3.23 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of PSV's games and 56% of Excelsior's. The Over 2.5 rates are 76% and 63%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSV has the higher season xG average, 2.04 to 1.34 per game. PSV takes 17.6 shots per game, while Excelsior takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
PSV leads at halftime in 71% of its games and scores 1.47 goals per game after halftime. Excelsior leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSV's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). For Excelsior, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.23 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leader, PSV displays dominant form, especially at their own stadium, where they have won 75% of matches, scoring an average of 3.25 goals while conceding just 1.63 per game. The hosts possess an impressive advantage in ball possession (64%) and shot conversion (15%), which translates to a high xG (2.36). Excelsior performs very poorly in away matches—losing 57% of encounters, keeping zero clean sheets, and holding a goal difference of -9. The visitors are characterized by low efficiency (9%) and an average of just 1.14 goals scored away against 2.43 conceded. The gap in quality between the two teams is immense, further confirmed by the 12-position difference in the table. Considering all statistics, a decisive victory for PSV is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSV is 67% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - PSV · 1.8 pts / game - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 206% better for: goals scored per game.
3.06 goals / game - PSV · 1 goals / game - Excelsior
PSV is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - PSV · 1.69 goals / game - Excelsior
PSV scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 meczów), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
Excelsior scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / game - PSV · 1.5 pts / game - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 88%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSV
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.29 | 3.23 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 62% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Excelsior. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 5:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs Excelsior?
PSV score 3.06 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.00. The Eredivisie average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 65% of PSV's matches and 56% of Excelsior's.
What form are PSV and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Excelsior 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSV vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.