PSV vs NEC: match statistics
As the league leader, PSV presents dominant form at home, winning 77% of their home fixtures and scoring an average of 3.15 goals per game. The hosts boast an impressive +23 goal difference in home matches along with a high ball possession rate (63%). NEC, despite occupying 3rd place in the table, has not kept a single clean sheet on the road all season and concedes an average of 1.77 goals per away match. The gap in offensive quality (xG: 2.25 for PSV vs 1.91 for NEC) and defensive solidity (xGA: 1.12 vs 1.32) speaks in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams (PSV: 1.8 PPG, NEC: 1.6 PPG) and PSV's advantage in shooting efficiency (16% vs 14%) further reinforce the prediction of a victory for the leaders. However, NEC's high away draw percentage (38%) justifies a moderate probability of an upset.
PSV vs NEC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
PSV played against NEC in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
PSV has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. NEC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
PSV scores 2.88 goals per game and allows 1.19. NEC scores 2.46 and allows 1.65. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of PSV's games and 81% of NEC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 85% and 81%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSV has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.91 per game. PSV takes 18.0 shots per game, while NEC takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
PSV leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.31 goals per game after halftime. NEC leads at halftime in 35% and scores 1.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
PSV's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (15 goals). For NEC, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eredivisie games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 8.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leader, PSV presents dominant form at home, winning 77% of their home fixtures and scoring an average of 3.15 goals per game. The hosts boast an impressive +23 goal difference in home matches along with a high ball possession rate (63%). NEC, despite occupying 3rd place in the table, has not kept a single clean sheet on the road all season and concedes an average of 1.77 goals per away match. The gap in offensive quality (xG: 2.25 for PSV vs 1.91 for NEC) and defensive solidity (xGA: 1.12 vs 1.32) speaks in favor of the hosts. The recent form of both teams (PSV: 1.8 PPG, NEC: 1.6 PPG) and PSV's advantage in shooting efficiency (16% vs 14%) further reinforce the prediction of a victory for the leaders. However, NEC's high away draw percentage (38%) justifies a moderate probability of an upset.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| PSV | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
PSV is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - PSV · 1 pts / game - NEC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
2.88 goals / game - PSV · 2.46 goals / game - NEC
PSV is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - PSV · 1.65 goals / game - NEC
PSV scores in 96% of games (25 of 26 meczów), while NEC keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
NEC scores in 96% of games (25 of 26 meczów), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSV
Over / Under - NEC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - PSV · 1.38 pts / game - NEC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSV - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 85%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
NEC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
PSV
NEC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| PSV | Liga | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.08 | 3.19 | ▲ 4.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 85% | 62% | ▲ 81% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 96% | 81% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from PSV's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against NEC. Games average 8.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of PSV vs NEC?
The Eredivisie match finished PSV 2:3 NEC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSV vs NEC?
PSV score 2.88 goals per game on average and NEC 2.46. The Eredivisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of PSV's matches and 81% of NEC's.
What form are PSV and NEC in?
Over the last 5 games PSV have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and NEC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSV vs NEC?
The statistical background for PSV vs NEC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.