Puebla vs Mazatlán: match statistics
Puebla, despite a poor table position, holds the home advantage, confirmed by a 25% win rate at their own stadium compared to Mazatlán's 0% away win rate. The hosts record better offensive stats in home matches, averaging 1.38 goals with an xG of 1.42, while the visitors score only 0.63 goals away with an xG of 0.98. Mazatlán is characterized by a very high away FTS% of 63%, indicating serious finishing problems. Puebla also dominates in possession (55% vs 44%) and takes significantly more shots on target (4.25 vs 2.63). Although both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (-8), Puebla's recent form is slightly better (0.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), giving the hosts a real chance to secure three points. Mazatlán's high draw rate (25% away) and the defensive issues of both teams also suggest the possibility of sharing the points.
Puebla vs Mazatlán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Puebla play Mazatlán in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 14 January 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Puebla: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Mazatlán: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Puebla scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Mazatlán scores 1.24 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Puebla 53%, Mazatlán 76%. Over 2.5: Puebla 62%, Mazatlán 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Puebla has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.16. Puebla: 12.3 shots per match, Mazatlán: 10.2.
Match halves
Puebla: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.62. Mazatlán: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Puebla: 76-90+ (11 goals). Mazatlán: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Puebla, despite a poor table position, holds the home advantage, confirmed by a 25% win rate at their own stadium compared to Mazatlán's 0% away win rate. The hosts record better offensive stats in home matches, averaging 1.38 goals with an xG of 1.42, while the visitors score only 0.63 goals away with an xG of 0.98. Mazatlán is characterized by a very high away FTS% of 63%, indicating serious finishing problems. Puebla also dominates in possession (55% vs 44%) and takes significantly more shots on target (4.25 vs 2.63). Although both teams have an identical goal difference in their matches (-8), Puebla's recent form is slightly better (0.8 PPG vs 0.6 PPG), giving the hosts a real chance to secure three points. Mazatlán's high draw rate (25% away) and the defensive issues of both teams also suggest the possibility of sharing the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Puebla | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mazatlán is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Puebla · 0.8 pts / match - Mazatlán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mazatlán is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Puebla · 1.24 goals / match - Mazatlán
Puebla scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
Mazatlán scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Puebla
Over / Under — Mazatlán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Puebla is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Puebla · 0.82 pts / match - Mazatlán
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Puebla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Puebla
Mazatlán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Puebla | Liga | Mazatlán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 24% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Puebla 0 - 0 - 1 Mazatlán. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Puebla vs Mazatlán?
The Liga MX match finished Puebla 2:1 Mazatlán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Puebla vs Mazatlán?
Puebla score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mazatlán 1.24. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Puebla's matches and 76% of Mazatlán's.
What form are Puebla and Mazatlán in?
Over the last 5 games Puebla have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Mazatlán 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Puebla vs Mazatlán?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.