Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıQəbələ şəhər stadionu ehtiyat meydançaData current as of October 16, 2026

Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK: match statistics

Qabala crest
Qabala
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Mil Mugan FK crest
Mil Mugan FK

Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Qabala played against Mil Mugan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on September 4, 2026. Venue: Qəbələ şəhər stadionu ehtiyat meydança. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Qabala has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.33 points per game. Mil Mugan FK has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.

Scoring records

Qabala scores 0.00 goals per game and allows 0.67. Mil Mugan FK scores 0.67 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Qabala's games and 33% of Mil Mugan FK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 33%, compared with league averages of 19% for BTTS and 25% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mil Mugan FK has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.08 per game. Qabala takes 9.7 shots per game, while Mil Mugan FK takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Qabala leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Qabala's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). For Mil Mugan FK, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 19% of games, and 25% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Qabala have failed to win either of their two home matches so far and have not scored in either, despite averaging 1.15 xG per game. Mil Mugan FK average 0.67 goals scored away from home, but have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away matches and concede just 1.00 goal per game, which should limit the hosts. The visitors register more shots on target away from home—4.33 compared with Qabala’s 3.00—but their own xG stands at just 1.12. Neither side’s recent form offers a clear advantage: Qabala have collected 7 points from their last five matches, while Mil Mugan have taken 5, conceding 7 goals over that period. Given Qabala’s lack of attacking efficiency and Mil Mugan’s cautious away profile, a draw is the most likely outcome, probably in a low-scoring match.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - No pick is supported by the very low league rate of matches in which both teams scored, at just 25%. Mil Mugan FK kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches, while also failing to score in 33% of games, clearly increasing the likelihood that one of the sides will end the match without a goal. In their last five matches, the visitors scored only 0.6 goals per game, while Qabala conceded an average of 0.8 goals. Both teams recorded BTTS at 40% across their last five outings, but the combined average number of goals scored was just 1.0 for Qabala and 0.6 for Mil Mugan FK. The data primarily points to a low-scoring game and a more likely scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The league profile is clearly conservative: the average is just 2.0 goals per match, while the 2.5-goal line has been exceeded in 33% of games. Mil Mugan have averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their matches so far, which limits the prospect of an open game. In their last five matches, Qabala averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded per game, for a combined total of just 1.8 goals. Mil Mugan’s recent form produces 2.0 total goals per match, despite their average xG standing at 1.37 and opponents creating chances worth 1.40 xG against them. The projected total of 2.20 goals points to a clear edge for Under 3.5, as at least 4 goals are required for this bet to lose, which does not align with the league’s low tempo and the visitors’ defensive numbers.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qabala win at the final whistle, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches. Mil Mugan did not score a single first-half goal during this period, while Qabala averaged 0.6 goals before the break, pointing to a cautious, low-scoring start. Across their last five full matches, Qabala averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, whereas Mil Mugan scored 0.6 and allowed opponents to score 1.4 goals. After half-time, the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goal, and goals were scored in the second half in as many as 80% of their matches, so the home side’s advantage should become more pronounced only after the break.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
QabalaMil Mugan FK
12Shots13
QabalaMil Mugan FK
6Shots on target6
QabalaMil Mugan FK
1.58xG1.76
QabalaMil Mugan FK
5Corners11
QabalaMil Mugan FK
55Dangerous attacks72
QabalaMil Mugan FK
8Fouls15
QabalaMil Mugan FK
3Cards3
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

QabalaMil Mugan FK
0Goals scored / game0.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.67Goals allowed / game1
QabalaMil Mugan FK
53%Average possession44%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
3Shots on target / game4.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.67Shots per game13.33
QabalaMil Mugan FK
3Shots on target4.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Shot conversion5%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
53%Possession44%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
1.08xG for1.31
QabalaMil Mugan FK
1.33xG against1.34
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Shooting quality

Qabala: BalancedMil Mugan FK: Balanced
QabalaMil Mugan FK
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.000.14

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mil Mugan FK is 303% better for: last-5 form.

0.33 pts / game - Qabala · 1.33 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK

Qabala
LLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W33% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.0Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Mil Mugan FK
DLW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Qabala is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.67 goals / game - Qabala · 1 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK

Qabala scoring profile: more difficult

Qabala scores in 0% of games (0 of 3 games), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 games).

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: strong

Mil Mugan FK scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

0Goals scored (season)2
QabalaMil Mugan FK
2Goals conceded (season)3
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.67Average goals per game1.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0Goals scored (last 5)2
QabalaMil Mugan FK
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
QabalaMil Mugan FK

How often they score at least...

0%1 goal67%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%2 goals0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%3 goals0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%4 goals0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%2 goals33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%3 goals33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%4 goals0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%BTTS in both halves0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Scored in both halves0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%BTTS - last 533%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

2nd half

33%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Qabala - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per game (1st half)0.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0Goals scored (1st half)0
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.33Average goals (1st half)0.33
QabalaMil Mugan FK
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
100%No goal before half-time100%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)1.33
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
QabalaMil Mugan FK
0.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
QabalaMil Mugan FK
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
QabalaMil Mugan FK
100%No goal after half-time33%
QabalaMil Mugan FK

Qabala - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Qabala - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.670.67
Goals scored / game0.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.30.3
Average goals per game0.30.3
1 goal33%33%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Mil Mugan FK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.671.33
Goals scored / game0.00.7
Goals allowed / game0.30.7
Average goals per game0.31.3
1 goal33%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal100%33%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Qabala
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.17
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
67%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+185%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
0%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
33%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Qabala

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
0%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QabalaLigaMil Mugan FK
Average goals per game▼ 0.671.75• 1.67
Both teams scored▼ 0%19%▲ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%25%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 33%50%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%50%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▼ 33%63%▲ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per game
19%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
50%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / game
0.56
Away goals / game
+112%
Home attack advantage
+53%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QabalaYellow cardShahin Shahniyarov
  2. QabalaYellow cardJaime Sierra Mateos
  3. Mil Mugan FKSubstitutionOn: Yaw MosesOff: Fərid Nəbiyev
  4. QabalaGoalKarim Rossi
  5. QabalaYellow cardKarim Rossi
  6. Mil Mugan FKYellow cardYaw Moses
  7. Mil Mugan FKYellow cardIdris Ingilabli
  8. QabalaSubstitutionOn: Ziya ŞəkərxanovOff: Karim Rossi
  9. Mil Mugan FKYellow cardAzər Salahlı

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Qabala's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Mil Mugan FK. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 2:1 Mil Mugan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Mil Mugan FK?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qabala won 1, Mil Mugan FK won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?

Qabala score 0.00 goals per game on average and Mil Mugan FK 0.67. The Premyer Liqası average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Qabala's matches and 33% of Mil Mugan FK's.

What form are Qabala and Mil Mugan FK in?

Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Mil Mugan FK 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK?

The statistical background for Qabala vs Mil Mugan FK — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.