Qabala vs Neftçi: match statistics
Neftçi displays significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit 6th in the table with a record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and only 5 losses, whereas Qabala is in 11th place with just 4 wins and a massive 15 losses. The disposition of both teams in their last five matches is particularly telling – Neftçi secured 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Qabala managed only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The visitors also show better attacking efficiency (an average of 1.55 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 1.00 at home) and a more solid defense (0.91 goals conceded per away match). Additionally, Neftçi holds a positive goal difference on the road (+7), while Qabala concedes more than they score at home (-6). All these factors indicate an advantage for the visitors, and Qabala's poor home form (64% loss rate) combined with Neftçi's good run (45% away win rate) suggest a realistic chance for an away victory.
Qabala vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qabala played against Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Qabala has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Neftçi has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Qabala scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 1.57. Neftçi scores 1.36 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Qabala's games and 41% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 41%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Neftçi has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.21 per game. Qabala takes 10.3 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Qabala leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qabala's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Neftçi displays significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit 6th in the table with a record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and only 5 losses, whereas Qabala is in 11th place with just 4 wins and a massive 15 losses. The disposition of both teams in their last five matches is particularly telling – Neftçi secured 6 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Qabala managed only 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The visitors also show better attacking efficiency (an average of 1.55 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 1.00 at home) and a more solid defense (0.91 goals conceded per away match). Additionally, Neftçi holds a positive goal difference on the road (+7), while Qabala concedes more than they score at home (-6). All these factors indicate an advantage for the visitors, and Qabala's poor home form (64% loss rate) combined with Neftçi's good run (45% away win rate) suggest a realistic chance for an away victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qabala | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Neftçi is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Qabala · 2 pts / game - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 56% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Qabala · 1.36 goals / game - Neftçi
Neftçi is 65% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Qabala · 0.95 goals / game - Neftçi
Qabala scores in 48% of games (11 of 23 meczów), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).
Neftçi scores in 59% of games (13 of 22 meczów), while Qabala keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qabala
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Qabala · 1.32 pts / game - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qabala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qabala
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qabala | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.43 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 44% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 33% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Qabala's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Neftçi. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Qabala vs Neftçi?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qabala 1:3 Neftçi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qabala and Neftçi?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qabala won 0, Neftçi won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qabala vs Neftçi?
Qabala score 0.87 goals per game on average and Neftçi 1.36. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Qabala's matches and 41% of Neftçi's.
What form are Qabala and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Qabala have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Neftçi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qabala vs Neftçi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Qabala vs Neftçi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.