Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics
Qarabağ clearly outperforms Araz in terms of quality of play at their home stadium. The hosts win 58% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of games, indicating a solid defense. Their advantage in possession (67% vs 52%) and significantly higher xG values (2.03 vs 1.15) confirm offensive dominance. Araz concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away match and has a negative goal difference (-2) in away games, making them susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Qarabağ's superiority in home statistics and the visitors' defensive weakness point to a home victory. The difference in class and the home advantage should secure Qarabağ three points.
Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qarabağ played against Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 6:0.
Recent form
Qarabağ has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Araz has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Qarabağ scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 0.76. Araz scores 1.45 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Qarabağ's games and 59% of Araz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 55%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.24 per game. Qarabağ takes 15.0 shots per game, while Araz takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Qarabağ leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Araz leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Araz, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ clearly outperforms Araz in terms of quality of play at their home stadium. The hosts win 58% of home matches and keep a clean sheet in 58% of games, indicating a solid defense. Their advantage in possession (67% vs 52%) and significantly higher xG values (2.03 vs 1.15) confirm offensive dominance. Araz concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away match and has a negative goal difference (-2) in away games, making them susceptible to defeat. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar; however, Qarabağ's superiority in home statistics and the visitors' defensive weakness point to a home victory. The difference in class and the home advantage should secure Qarabağ three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qarabağ is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.2 pts / game - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.86 goals / game - Qarabağ · 1.45 goals / game - Araz
Qarabağ is 109% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.76 goals / game - Qarabağ · 1.59 goals / game - Araz
Qarabağ scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 games), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 games).
Araz scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 games), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.41 pts / game - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Araz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qarabağ
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.62 | 2.43 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | • 43% | 43% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 45% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Araz. Games average 5.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 6:0 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Araz?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 2, Araz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?
Qarabağ score 1.86 goals per game on average and Araz 1.45. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Qarabağ's matches and 59% of Araz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Araz 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.