Azerbaijan - Premyer LiqasıData current as of September 11, 2026

Qarabağ vs Sabah: match statistics

Qarabağ crest
Qarabağ
3 : 3half-time 0:1
Sabah crest
Sabah
130%(1.90)
X25%(3.10)
245%(3.90)

Sabah is in impressive form as the league leaders with an 80% win rate away from home and only one defeat all season. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2, which confirms their excellent form. Qarabağ, despite being in 2nd place, shows weaker form with 3 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Sabah has a better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%) and a higher average of goals scored away (2.2 vs 1.45 for the hosts at home). Sabah's positive goal difference away from home (+15) compared to Qarabağ's at home (+11) and the advantage in recent results (WDWWW run vs LWWLL) indicate a higher chance of an away win, although Qarabağ's solid performance at their own stadium (64% wins) does not rule out a draw or an upset.

Qarabağ vs Sabah: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Qarabağ played against Sabah in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 3:3.

Recent form

Qarabağ has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Sabah has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Qarabağ scores 1.80 goals per game and allows 0.65. Sabah scores 2.00 and allows 0.57. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 40% of Qarabağ's games and 48% of Sabah's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 52%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.85 per game. Qarabağ takes 15.0 shots per game, while Sabah takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Qarabağ leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Sabah leads at halftime in 48% and scores 1.05 after halftime.

When the teams score

Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Sabah, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Sabah is in impressive form as the league leaders with an 80% win rate away from home and only one defeat all season. The visitors have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, conceding only 2, which confirms their excellent form. Qarabağ, despite being in 2nd place, shows weaker form with 3 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. Sabah has a better shot conversion rate (18% vs 9%) and a higher average of goals scored away (2.2 vs 1.45 for the hosts at home). Sabah's positive goal difference away from home (+15) compared to Qarabağ's at home (+11) and the advantage in recent results (WDWWW run vs LWWLL) indicate a higher chance of an away win, although Qarabağ's solid performance at their own stadium (64% wins) does not rule out a draw or an upset.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
3 : 2
Second half

Game stats

58Possession (%)42
QarabağSabah
15Shots8
QarabağSabah
6Shots on target5
QarabağSabah
1.79xG1.14
QarabağSabah
6Corners3
QarabağSabah
59Dangerous attacks38
QarabağSabah
11Fouls11
QarabağSabah
3Cards2
QarabağSabah

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.8Goals scored / game2
QarabağSabah
0.65Goals allowed / game0.57
QarabağSabah
66%Average possession57%
QarabağSabah
5.15Shots on target / game5.24
QarabağSabah

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15Shots per game13.81
QarabağSabah
5.15Shots on target5.24
QarabağSabah
12%Shot conversion14.5%
QarabağSabah
66%Possession57%
QarabağSabah
1.93xG for1.85
QarabağSabah
0.93xG against1.09
QarabağSabah

Shooting quality

Qarabağ: DominantSabah: Efficient finishing
QarabağSabah
Accuracy (shots on target)34%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sabah is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Qarabağ · 3 pts / game - Sabah

Qarabağ
WLWWW
Season result split
70% W15% D15% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-3-3
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Sabah
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
76% W19% D5% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-4-1
2.48 pts / game · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
8-2-0
Last 5 away
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sabah is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

1.8 goals / game - Qarabağ · 2 goals / game - Sabah

Sabah is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.65 goals / game - Qarabağ · 0.57 goals / game - Sabah

Qarabağ scoring profile: strong

Qarabağ scores in 85% of games (17 of 20 meczów), while Sabah keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).

Sabah scoring profile: strong

Sabah scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 meczów).

36Goals scored (season)42
QarabağSabah
13Goals conceded (season)12
QarabağSabah
2.45Average goals per game2.57
QarabağSabah
6Goals scored (last 5)13
QarabağSabah
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
QarabağSabah

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal86%
QarabağSabah
55%2 goals67%
QarabağSabah
15%3 goals38%
QarabağSabah
15%4 goals10%
QarabağSabah

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal52%
QarabağSabah
15%2 goals5%
QarabağSabah
0%3 goals0%
QarabağSabah
0%4 goals0%
QarabağSabah

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
QarabağSabah
5%BTTS in both halves0%
QarabağSabah
35%Scored in both halves33%
QarabağSabah

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
QarabağSabah
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
QarabağSabah
40%BTTS - last 560%
QarabağSabah

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
QarabağSabah
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
QarabağSabah
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
QarabağSabah

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
QarabağSabah
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
QarabağSabah
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
QarabağSabah

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sabah is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.65 pts / game - Qarabağ · 1.9 pts / game - Sabah

Qarabağ - half-time state
40% leading45% draw15% trailing
Sabah - half-time state
48% leading48% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.65Points per game (1st half)1.9
QarabağSabah
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.95
QarabağSabah
0.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
QarabağSabah
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.1
QarabağSabah
65%Clean sheet before half-time86%
QarabağSabah
45%No goal before half-time48%
QarabağSabah

After half-time (2nd half)

2.15Points per game (2nd half)1.86
QarabağSabah
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)1.05
QarabağSabah
0.3Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
QarabağSabah
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.48
QarabağSabah
75%Clean sheet after half-time62%
QarabağSabah
35%No goal after half-time33%
QarabağSabah

Qarabağ - second-half results

65% W20% D15% L
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 70%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sabah - second-half results

48% W43% D10% L
40
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+17
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Qarabağ - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sabah - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game1.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+9+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Qarabağ
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
6
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
1
61-75
12
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Sabah
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
9
0
16-30
6
2
31-45
9
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Qarabağ

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Sabah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.76
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

QarabağLigaSabah
Average goals per game 2.452.42 2.57
Both teams scored 40%42% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%45% 52%
Clean sheets 50%34% 48%
Goal before half-time 70%65% 57%
Goal after half-time 80%70% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per game
42%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defensive advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. QarabağYellow cardKevin David Medina Renteria
  2. SabahGoalKhayal Aliyev
  3. SabahYellow cardYgor Nogueira de Paula
  4. SabahYellow cardSteve Solvet
  5. SabahSubstitutionOn: Joy-Lance MickelsOff: Khayal Aliyev
  6. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Toral BayramovOff: Elvin Cəfərquliyev
  7. QarabağSubstitutionOn: Emmanuel AddaiOff: Abdellah Zoubir
  8. QarabağYellow cardMatheus de Barros
  9. QarabağYellow cardMusa Gurbanli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Tural QurbanovMatches officiated: 9
3.44Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 233%Home wins44%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sabah. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Qarabağ vs Sabah?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 3:3 Sabah. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Sabah?

Qarabağ score 1.80 goals per game on average and Sabah 2.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Qarabağ's matches and 48% of Sabah's.

What form are Qarabağ and Sabah in?

Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Sabah 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Sabah?

The statistical background for Qarabağ vs Sabah — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.