Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: match statistics
Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Queens Park Rangers played against Derby County in Championship (England). The game was played on October 14, 2026. Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Derby County has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Queens Park Rangers scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 0.89. Derby County scores 0.89 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Queens Park Rangers's games and 56% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 56%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Queens Park Rangers has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.42 per game. Queens Park Rangers takes 16.1 shots per game, while Derby County takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Queens Park Rangers leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Queens Park Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Queens Park Rangers are 6th, while Derby County sit 22nd. However, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, drawing 4 of them. QPR create significantly more chances at home, averaging 21.75 shots per match compared with Derby’s 11 away from home, while their xG stands at 2.27 against 1.22 for their opponents. The hosts’ main problem is finishing: despite this advantage, they average just 1 goal at home and have failed to score in half of those matches. Derby also average 1 goal away from home, but concede 1.5 per match compared with QPR’s 1 at home. The greater volume of chances and more solid defense point to QPR, although their run of draws means a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 50% of their matches this season, but Queens Park Rangers have failed to score in 50% of their games, compared with 25% for Derby County. In their last 5 matches, each side averaged just 0.8 goals, increasing the risk that at least one will fail to find the net in this match. The xG figures of 1.64 for the home side and 1.22 for the visitors, along with the fact that Queens Park Rangers are yet to keep a clean sheet, point towards goals. Despite these attacking prospects, the low scoring rate reflected in their recent results gives a slight edge to BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score, rather than both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not breached in any of Derby’s matches in the sample, and held in 75% of Queens Park Rangers’ matches. Over their last five games, both teams averaged 0.8 goals scored, while their matches went Over 2.5 goals in 20% and 40% of cases, respectively. Their attacking potential is higher than the results suggest, with average xG of 1.64 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors, so 2 or 3 goals remain realistic. However, the projected total of 2.36 goals suggests that reaching 4 would require significantly more clinical finishing than in recent matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest first-half signal is that Queens Park Rangers were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 4 matches and did not lead at the break in any of them, while Derby led in 2 of 4. The hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals before half-time, compared with 0.5 for the visitors, which points to a Derby lead at the break. Derby are slightly more likely to hold on to that result than QPR are to turn the game around: the hosts have won none of their 4 matches and average just 0.25 goals after the break. However, the 2/2 HT/FT pick is not a strong conviction, as QPR have a higher average attacking xG (1.64 versus Derby’s 1.22), and 4 of their last 5 matches ended in draws. Therefore, 2/X and X/X remain viable alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Queens Park Rangers | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Queens Park Rangers is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Queens Park Rangers · 0.4 pts / game - Derby County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queens Park Rangers is 37% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Queens Park Rangers · 0.89 goals / game - Derby County
Queens Park Rangers is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Queens Park Rangers · 1.67 goals / game - Derby County
Queens Park Rangers scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 games).
Derby County scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Queens Park Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Queens Park Rangers
Over / Under - Derby County
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Queens Park Rangers is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Queens Park Rangers · 1.11 pts / game - Derby County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Queens Park Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Queens Park Rangers | Liga | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.11 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 20% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Queens Park Rangers's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Derby County. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
The Championship match finished Queens Park Rangers 4:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Queens Park Rangers won 0, Derby County won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
Queens Park Rangers score 1.22 goals per game on average and Derby County 0.89. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Queens Park Rangers's matches and 56% of Derby County's.
What form are Queens Park Rangers and Derby County in?
Over the last 5 games Queens Park Rangers have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Derby County 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.