Querétaro vs Toluca: match statistics
Querétaro vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Querétaro played against Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on August 22, 2026. Venue: Estadio La Corregidora. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Querétaro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.75 points per game. Toluca has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Querétaro scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.00. Toluca scores 1.50 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Querétaro's games and 50% of Toluca's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.89 to 1.37 per game. Querétaro takes 13.0 shots per game, while Toluca takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Querétaro leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Toluca leads at halftime in 75% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Querétaro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Toluca, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins, a draw and a defeat, while Querétaro have managed only 5 points. The visitors have scored 9 goals and conceded just 3 during this period, whereas the hosts have scored 4 and conceded as many as 8. Away from home, Toluca have not lost a single match, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their games and allowing opponents an xG of 1.47. Querétaro do average 1.5 goals at home, but have failed to keep a single clean sheet, while their defense allows opponents an xG of 2.02. Toluca’s advantage in possession, 59% compared to 34%, along with their higher number of shots on target per match, 5.5 to 4, further supports the case for an away win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome given their 50% draw rate away from home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Toluca’s highly solid defense: in the available away data, they have not conceded a goal, kept a 100% clean-sheet record and allowed opponents an xG of just 1.47. Querétaro have scored only 0.8 goals per match across their last 5 games, while in as many as 60% of those matches at least one team failed to score. Toluca are in significantly better offensive form, averaging 1.8 goals over their last five matches with an xG of 2.36, while the hosts have conceded 1.6 goals and recorded an xG against of 1.71 during that period. Although Querétaro average 21.5 shots at home and have an xG of 2.32, the clash between this attack and the visitors’ defense, combined with the teams’ low 40% BTTS rate across their last five matches, slightly favors the scenario in which the hosts fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals, as the league average is 2.79 goals and the teams’ projected combined total is 2.68. Toluca have scored 9 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 per game, with a very high average xG of 2.36. Querétaro conceded 1.6 goals per game during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 1.71, which strengthens the prospects of an away goal. However, the home side create plenty of chances at home, averaging 2.32 xG and 6.0 shots on target per game, although their goalscoring form over the last five games stands at just 0.8 goals. Caution is advised with Over 2.5 due to Toluca’s defensive record, having conceded only 3 goals in their last five matches; therefore, Over 1.5 is clearly the safer choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Toluca are clearly in better current form: they have won 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding only 0.6, while Querétaro have scored 0.8 goals and allowed opponents to score 1.6. The visitors have not lost any of their last five matches at half-time and were leading at the break in 60% of them; Querétaro were ahead after 45 minutes in only 40% of their matches. A draw at half-time is a realistic outcome, as both teams were level at the break in 40% of their recent matches, with the average number of first-half goals standing at 1.2 and 1.4 respectively. After the interval, Toluca’s advantage increases: they score an average of 0.8 goals while conceding just 0.2, whereas the hosts score only 0.2 and concede 1.0. Therefore, the most likely outcome is an even first half followed by Toluca turning the game in their favor after the break, corresponding to the X/2 HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Querétaro | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Querétaro · 1.5 goals / game - Toluca
Toluca is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Querétaro · 0.75 goals / game - Toluca
Querétaro scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
Toluca scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Querétaro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Querétaro
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Querétaro · 2.5 pts / game - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Querétaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Querétaro
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Querétaro | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 87% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Querétaro's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toluca. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Querétaro vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Querétaro 1:2 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Querétaro and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Querétaro won 1, Toluca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Querétaro vs Toluca?
Querétaro score 1.25 goals per game on average and Toluca 1.50. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Querétaro's matches and 50% of Toluca's.
What form are Querétaro and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Querétaro have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Toluca 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Querétaro vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Querétaro vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.