Racing vs Cerro: match statistics
Racing displays significantly better form and home statistics than Cerro in away matches. The hosts have won 50% of their home games, scoring an average of 3 goals per match with an xG of 2.17, which indicates an efficient offense. Cerro, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), has failed to score on the road (FTS% 100%), and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The quality difference is also evident in the goal difference: Racing +2 at home, Cerro -3 away. Overall form also favors the hosts, who are averaging 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Cerro only 0.6 points. All indicators point clearly to a confident victory for Racing in front of their home crowd.
Racing vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Racing played against Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Racing has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.75 points per game. Cerro has 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 0.50 points per game.
Scoring records
Racing scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. Cerro scores 0.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.43 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Racing's games and 50% of Cerro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 25%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Racing has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.28 per game. Racing takes 14.0 shots per game, while Cerro takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Racing leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Cerro leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Racing's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Cerro, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.43 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Racing displays significantly better form and home statistics than Cerro in away matches. The hosts have won 50% of their home games, scoring an average of 3 goals per match with an xG of 2.17, which indicates an efficient offense. Cerro, however, has not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), has failed to score on the road (FTS% 100%), and concedes an average of 3 goals per game. The quality difference is also evident in the goal difference: Racing +2 at home, Cerro -3 away. Overall form also favors the hosts, who are averaging 1.4 points per game in their last five matches, while Cerro only 0.6 points. All indicators point clearly to a confident victory for Racing in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Racing | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Racing is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / game - Racing · 0.5 pts / game - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Racing is 400% better for: goals scored per game.
2.5 goals / game - Racing · 0.5 goals / game - Cerro
Racing scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).
Cerro scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Racing keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Racing
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Racing is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Racing · 0.75 pts / game - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Racing - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Cerro - second-half results
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Racing
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Racing | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.00 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Racing's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cerro. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Racing vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Racing 1:0 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Racing and Cerro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Racing won 1, Cerro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Racing vs Cerro?
Racing score 2.50 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.50. The Primera División average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Racing's matches and 50% of Cerro's.
What form are Racing and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Racing have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Cerro 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Racing vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Racing vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.