Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a leaning towards a draw scenario. Raith Rovers are in poor form with only 1 win in their last 5 matches and a PPG of 0.8, which diminishes their chances despite home advantage. Ayr United have a high percentage of draws away from home (53%), which confirms their defensive solidity and difficulty for hosts to beat them. Both teams have identical average goals conceded at home/away (1.2), as well as similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive and defensive potential. The recent form of both teams is poor (Raith: dllwl, Ayr: ldldl), which further supports a cautious, draw outcome. Taking all factors into account, a draw appears to be the most likely result of this match.
Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raith Rovers play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 27 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Raith Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raith Rovers scores 1.19 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raith Rovers 33%, Ayr United 61%. Over 2.5: Raith Rovers 42%, Ayr United 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.30. Raith Rovers: 10.6 shots per match, Ayr United: 10.3.
Match halves
Raith Rovers: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.83. Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Raith Rovers: 76-90+ (13 goals). Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a leaning towards a draw scenario. Raith Rovers are in poor form with only 1 win in their last 5 matches and a PPG of 0.8, which diminishes their chances despite home advantage. Ayr United have a high percentage of draws away from home (53%), which confirms their defensive solidity and difficulty for hosts to beat them. Both teams have identical average goals conceded at home/away (1.2), as well as similar xG values, suggesting balanced offensive and defensive potential. The recent form of both teams is poor (Raith: dllwl, Ayr: ldldl), which further supports a cautious, draw outcome. Taking all factors into account, a draw appears to be the most likely result of this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raith Rovers | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raith Rovers is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 0.6 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.06 goals / match - Ayr United
Raith Rovers is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Raith Rovers · 1.31 goals / match - Ayr United
Raith Rovers scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raith Rovers
Over / Under — Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Raith Rovers · 1.39 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Raith Rovers | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.43 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Raith Rovers 1 - 0 - 2 Ayr United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Raith Rovers 3:0 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Ayr United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 1, Ayr United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
Raith Rovers score 1.19 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.06. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Raith Rovers's matches and 61% of Ayr United's.
What form are Raith Rovers and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ayr United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.