Raja Casablanca vs CR Khemis Zemamra: match statistics

Raja Casablanca have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 4, while CR Khemis Zemamra have failed to win any of their 5 fixtures, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5. This difference in form favors the hosts, although the visitors’ 4 draws during this period show they can keep games level. In the only away match covered by the data, the visitors lost 1:2, managing 4 shots with 32% possession. Their away xG was 0.75 compared with their opponents’ 1.70 xG, suggesting they have struggled both to create chances and to limit the opposition’s opportunities. The data does not yet include Raja’s home matches this season, so the hosts’ advantage is based primarily on results from their last 5 fixtures, and the prediction still allows for a significant chance of a draw.

In their last five matches, both teams scored in 60% of Raja Casablanca's games and 80% of CR Khemis Zemamra's, which supports BTTS - Yes. Raja averaged 1.6 goals over this period, while the visitors conceded 1.0, making a home goal seem likely. The visitors' chances are supported by an average xG of 1.46 across their last five matches, although they scored just 0.8 goals per game, while Raja conceded an average of 0.8. The available home-match data for Raja consists entirely of zero values, so I do not treat it as evidence that there will be no goals; the visitors' lower scoring rate remains the main risk to BTTS - Yes.

In their last 5 matches, Raja averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while CR Khemis Zemamra scored 0.8 and conceded 1.0 goals. This equates to an average of 2.4 goals in the home side’s matches and 1.8 in the visitors’ matches, with both trends pointing to fewer than 3.5 goals. This assessment is supported by the percentage of matches featuring at least 3 goals: 40% for Raja and 20% for the visitors, although their average xG across their last 5 appearances was similar, at 1.44 and 1.46 respectively. The Under 3.5 goals selection offers more margin than the 2.5 line, but confidence is tempered by the small sample and a considerably higher league average of 3.86 goals.

Raja Casablanca led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while CR Khemis Zemamra did not lead in any of their 5 and went into half-time level in 4. The hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before the break, compared with 0.2 scored and 0.4 conceded by the visitors, pointing to an early advantage for Raja. Their recent record also supports them holding on to the lead: Raja won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, while their opponents recorded no wins and averaged 0.8 goals scored. The 1/1 HT/FT pick is therefore the strongest option, although the visitors’ 4 draws in their last 5 matches make draw-involving outcomes a significant alternative.