Rangers vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Rangers vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rangers played against Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Ibrox Stadium. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Rangers has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Kilmarnock has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rangers scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 0.57. Kilmarnock scores 0.86 and allows 2.14. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Rangers's games and 43% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rangers has the higher season xG average, 2.20 to 1.17 per game. Rangers takes 20.4 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Rangers leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rangers's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rangers have won their last five matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 1, while Kilmarnock have recorded one win and scored 3 goals over the same period. At home, Rangers average 23.67 shots per match, compared with 10 shots for Kilmarnock away, and their xG stands at 2.55 against 1.30 for their opponents. However, Rangers score an average of just 1 goal at home, so their high volume of chances does not always translate into goals. The hosts’ defense concedes an average of 0.67 goals at home, while Kilmarnock allow opponents an xG of 1.83 on the road. Rangers’ advantage in form and chance creation points to a home win, although their limited finishing leaves the door open for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: Rangers have conceded just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2, while Kilmarnock have scored an average of 0.6 goals over that period. Across those same five games, both teams scored in 20% of Rangers’ matches and 40% of Kilmarnock’s, below the league average of 52%. The case for a home goal is supported by Rangers’ average of 1.6 goals and an xG of 2.0 in their last five matches, compared with the 1.66 xG conceded by the visitors. Although Rangers have conceded an average of 2.75 goals at home, their recent defensive form and Kilmarnock’s lower scoring efficiency make it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Rangers averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded just 0.2, while Kilmarnock averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The hosts’ attacking potential is reflected in an average xG of 2.00, but their opponents allowed chances worth 1.66 xG during this period, which does not point to an easy, high-scoring game. None of Kilmarnock’s last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, while this happened in 40% of Rangers’ matches. With a projected total of 2.4 goals, Under 3.5 offers a greater safety margin than Under 2.5, even though the hosts could score more than once.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Rangers win: Kilmarnock were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches, while a half-time draw occurred twice in the teams’ last 5 matches each. The case for a home win is supported by Rangers’ current form—they have won their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.2, while the visitors have won 1 of 5 and averaged 0.6 goals. Rangers won the second half in 3 of those 5 matches, whereas Kilmarnock did not win it once, reinforcing the prospect of the match being decided after the break. However, the venue-specific results temper confidence in this pick: Rangers trailed at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches and did not win any of them. I therefore rate a half-time draw more highly than a home lead at the break, but Rangers’ recent winning run tilts the full-time prediction in their favor.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rangers | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rangers is 200% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Rangers · 1 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rangers is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Rangers · 0.86 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Rangers is 275% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.57 goals / game - Rangers · 2.14 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Rangers scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
Kilmarnock scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rangers
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rangers is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / game - Rangers · 1.14 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rangers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rangers
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Rangers | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.71 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rangers's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kilmarnock. Games average 4.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Rangers 3:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Kilmarnock?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Rangers won 3, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers score 1.14 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.86. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Rangers's matches and 43% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Rangers and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Rangers have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kilmarnock 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
The statistical background for Rangers vs Kilmarnock — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.