Rapid Wien II vs Floridsdorfer AC: match statistics

Rapid Wien II sit 5th, while Floridsdorfer AC are 10th, and the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with just one win for the visitors over the same period. The Vienna side have scored 7 goals in their last five games and average 2.4 points per match, whereas Floridsdorfer have conceded 8 goals during that time. Although the visitors create more chances away from home, as reflected by an xG of 2.01 compared with the hosts’ 1.07, their defense still allows an average xG of 1.64 and as many as 4 goals per away game. Both teams have so far lost their only respective home and away match, and neither has kept a clean sheet, so an open game with goals at both ends is to be expected. However, Rapid Wien II’s stronger current run of results gives the hosts a slight edge in the battle for victory.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the fact that Floridsdorfer AC have a 100% season BTTS rate, while neither team has yet finished a match without scoring. The visitors average 2.0 goals per match, while Rapid Wien II score 1.5, with the Floridsdorfer defense conceding as many as 4.0 goals per game on average and keeping no clean sheets. In their last five matches, both sides recorded BTTS in 60% of cases, with average xG of 1.77 for the hosts and 1.55 for the visitors, respectively. Rapid Wien II have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, but the opposition attack generates 2.01 xG and averages 6.0 shots on target, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. Floridsdorfer’s high scoring rate and very weak defense strongly support a Goal/Goal outcome.

Floridsdorfer AC score an average of 2.0 goals away from home but concede as many as 4.0, and every match played by the team so far has produced at least 2 goals. Rapid Wien II score an average of 1.5 goals at home and concede 1.0, while the average number of goals in the teams’ last five matches stood at 2.4 and 2.8, respectively. The quality-of-chances data also supports an open game: the hosts’ average xG over their last five matches is 1.77, compared with 1.55 for the visitors. The away side average 16.0 shots and 6.0 shots on target per match, which should create plenty of chances even against a home defense that has allowed 1.85 xG across its last five appearances. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as the projected total of 3.15 goals provides a clear margin above this line, even with a reduction in finishing efficiency compared with the seasonal averages.

Rapid Wien II are clearly stronger in terms of current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points over that run, compared with just 1.0 for Floridsdorfer AC. The hosts held a lead at the break in 60% of their last five matches, and in the available home-match data they did so in 2 out of 2 cases, scoring an average of 1.5 goals before half-time. Floridsdorfer AC concede an average of 4.0 goals per away match and have recorded neither a win nor a clean sheet on the road, which strongly supports the scenario of Rapid taking the initiative from the outset. The visitors are capable of creating chances, as shown by their average of 16 shots and an xG of 2.01, but their recent average of 1.2 goals scored against 1.6 conceded points to less stability than the hosts. The most likely outcome is therefore Rapid Wien II leading at half-time and maintaining their winning margin through full-time, although a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.