Raufoss vs Stabæk: match statistics
Raufoss vs Stabæk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Raufoss played Stabæk in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: NAMMO stadion. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Raufoss: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stabæk: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Raufoss scores 1.27 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Stabæk scores 2.53 and concedes 1.07. League average: 3.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Raufoss 60%, Stabæk 53%. Over 2.5: Raufoss 73%, Stabæk 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Stabæk has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.22. Raufoss: 10.7 shots per match, Stabæk: 16.9.
Match halves
Raufoss: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67. Stabæk: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Raufoss: 31-45+ (5 goals). Stabæk: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.75 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stabæk are clear favorites: the visitors sit 3rd in the table with 9 wins and 38 goals this season, while Raufoss are 13th with 5 wins and 19 goals. In the last 5 matches Stabæk scored 16 goals and won 4, Raufoss scored 7 and won 3; average points over the last five are 2.4 for Stabæk versus 1.8 for Raufoss. The visitors generate noticeably more high-quality chances: average xG on the road 1.95 versus home xG 1.45, average shots 16.88 (6.13 on target) versus 12.57 (4 on target) and 55% possession vs 44%. Defensively the numbers are similar — Raufoss concede 1.43 goals at home, Stabæk 1.38 away — but the visitors’ offensive edge and superior away goal difference (+6 vs +2 for the hosts) indicate Stabæk are more likely to win. Therefore I predict an away win; probability distribution: home 15%, draw 25%, away 60%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS is that Stabæk have a seasonal away BTTS rate of 63%, against a league BTTS level of 61%. Raufoss formally show a lower home BTTS (43%) and as many as 57% clean sheets, but in their last 5 matches their BTTS rose to 60% and they conceded an average of 2.2 goals in those 5 fixtures (11 goals conceded), indicating recent defensive vulnerability. Stabæk scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches (3.2 per game) and have 38 goals this season, while the offensive xG for both teams is 1.95 each, so both sides generate chances to score. Additionally, the league goals average is 3.77, and the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals for home and away teams is 71% and 75% respectively, which increases the likelihood of a game with goals from both sides. Considering Stabæk’s 63% away rate, the league 61% and recent form (Raufoss conceding 2.2, Stabæk scoring 3.2), I assess that the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario is more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a high-scoring game: calculated expected xG as the average of the attack xG and opponent defensive xG is 1.81 for Raufoss and 1.55 for Stabæk, totaling 3.36 expected goals. Historically Raufoss has 100% of matches over 1.5, Stabæk 75% (average ~88%), and both teams average 17.0 and 16.88 shots with 5.86 and 6.13 shots on target and conversion rates of 18% and 13%, which favors goals. The 2.5 line is also supported: season Over 2.5 is 71% for the home side and 75% for the away side, with a league average of 73%, hence a strong signal for Over 2.5 (~75%). The 3.5 line has a more balanced profile (57% and 63% season Over 3.5, average ~60%), and the predicted xG 3.36 is slightly below 3.5, so the risk is higher; therefore the safest pick is Over 1.5, with Over 2.5 as the second-value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor Raufoss: the hosts score on average 1.43 goals by half-time and concede only 0.43, which translates into a lead at the break in 57% of matches (4 occurrences). Over the full match Raufoss win at home in 86% of fixtures, have an overall goals-per-game average of 3.0 versus Stabæk’s 2.13 and superior shot efficiency (conversion 18% vs 13%). Both teams’ xG are equal (1.95 vs 1.95), but the hosts’ defense allows a lower expected goals against (xGA 1.14 versus 1.67 for the visitors), and in the second half Raufoss scores on average 1.57 goals while conceding only 0.29. In the short term Stabæk have a good run – in their last five matches the visitors led at the break in 60% of cases and average 1.4 goals by half-time – however this contrasts with Raufoss’s seasonal advantages (14 points gained by half-time and an average of 2.0 points per match at half-time). Given the hosts’ 57% rate of leading at the break, 86% home win rate and a second-half advantage of +1.28 goals (1.57 vs 0.29), the strongest scenario is Raufoss leading at half-time and maintaining the win to full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Raufoss | Stabæk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stabæk is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Raufoss · 2.4 pts / match - Stabæk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stabæk is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Raufoss · 2.53 goals / match - Stabæk
Stabæk is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.13 goals / match - Raufoss · 1.07 goals / match - Stabæk
Raufoss scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
Stabæk scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Raufoss keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Raufoss
Over / Under — Stabæk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stabæk is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Raufoss · 1.67 pts / match - Stabæk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raufoss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Raufoss
Stabæk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Raufoss | Liga | Stabæk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.40 | 3.75 | ▼ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 73% | 73% | • 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 87% | 87% | • 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Raufoss 2 - 0 - 1 Stabæk. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Raufoss vs Stabæk?
The First Division match finished Raufoss 0:2 Stabæk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Raufoss and Stabæk?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Raufoss won 2, Stabæk won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Raufoss vs Stabæk?
Raufoss score 1.27 goals per game on average and Stabæk 2.53. The First Division average is 3.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Raufoss's matches and 53% of Stabæk's.
What form are Raufoss and Stabæk in?
Over the last 5 games Raufoss have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stabæk 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raufoss vs Stabæk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.