RCD Espanyol vs Levante UD: match statistics

Levante occupy a higher position in the away table, sitting 10th compared with Espanyol’s 14th place in the home standings. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 goals per game, while Espanyol have recorded just 1 victory and drawn as many as 3 times. Levante’s goal difference over this period is 7:5, whereas the hosts have scored 11 goals but conceded as many as 9, highlighting greater vulnerability in their defense. Espanyol are on a run of three consecutive draws, making a closely contested match a realistic prospect, but the visitors’ superior points-per-game form — 1.8 compared with 1.2 — gives Levante a slight edge. The lack of complete season data for home and away matches limits confidence in the prediction; however, recent results point to a narrow advantage for the visitors.

Recent form clearly supports goals from both sides: Espanyol recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, while Levante did so in 60%. The hosts averaged 2.2 goals scored during this period, but also conceded 1.8 per game, increasing the likelihood that an effective Levante side will respond with a goal. Levante scored 7 goals in five matches, averaging 1.4 per game, with an xG of 1.11, while Espanyol allowed opponents an xG of 1.18. Espanyol should also find the net, as their average xG stands at 1.30, while Levante conceded an average of 1.0 goal per match. The lack of season-long data limits confidence in the prediction, but Espanyol’s current 11:9 goal record and Levante’s 7:5 record across their last five matches give the BTTS - Yes scenario the edge.

In their last five matches, Espanyol averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, producing a high average of 4.0 goals per game. Over the same period, Levante averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, with their matches yielding an average of 2.4 goals. The 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 80% of the hosts’ recent matches and 60% of the visitors’ games, while both teams scored in 80% and 60% of those appearances, respectively. However, the more cautious selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.50 goals clearly supports at least two goals but does not guarantee three. Additionally, the average xG figures stand at 1.30 for Espanyol and 1.11 for Levante, meaning both sides have a solid basis for creating quality chances.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Levante win, as the visitors were level at the break in 75% of their last five matches and never led at half-time. Espanyol also tend to start cautiously: over the same period, they were level after 45 minutes in 60% of their matches, although they averaged 1.2 goals before the break compared with Levante’s 0.25. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to the visitors, who won the second half in 75% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 0.75 goals and conceding just 0.25. After half-time, the hosts allowed their opponents to score an average of 1.2 goals, while their second-half record was even, increasing the likelihood of Levante deciding a closely contested match. The visitors are also backed by stronger recent results: they won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Espanyol recorded just 1 victory and drew as many as 3 times.