Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio Inca Garcilaso de la VegaData current as of September 02, 2026

Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Real Garcilaso plays UCV Moquegua in Primera División (Peru). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Recent form

Real Garcilaso has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. UCV Moquegua has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Real Garcilaso scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. UCV Moquegua scores 0.96 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Real Garcilaso's games and 46% of UCV Moquegua's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 54%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Real Garcilaso has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.08 per game. Real Garcilaso takes 12.3 shots per game, while UCV Moquegua takes 10.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Real Garcilaso leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. UCV Moquegua leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.54 after halftime.

When the teams score

Real Garcilaso's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For UCV Moquegua, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.24)
(5.60)
(12.00)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.5Goals scored / game0.96
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.5Goals allowed / game1.38
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
57%Average possession40%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4.38Shots on target / game3.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.33Shots per game10.17
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4.38Shots on target3.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
12.2%Shot conversion9.4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
57%Possession40%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.33xG for1.08
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.56xG against1.63
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Shooting quality

Real Garcilaso: BalancedUCV Moquegua: Balanced
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Real Garcilaso is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Real Garcilaso · 1 pts / game - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W13% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-9
1.63 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
UCV Moquegua
DLDWL
Season result split
25% W29% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-11
1.04 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-8
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Garcilaso is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Real Garcilaso · 0.96 goals / game - UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.5 goals / game - Real Garcilaso · 1.38 goals / game - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso scoring profile: very strong

Real Garcilaso scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while UCV Moquegua keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).

UCV Moquegua scoring profile: strong

UCV Moquegua scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Real Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).

36Goals scored (season)23
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
36Goals conceded (season)33
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
3Average goals per game2.33
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
10Goals scored (last 5)4
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
42%2 goals33%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
17%3 goals4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
8%4 goals0%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal71%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
29%2 goals42%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
13%3 goals17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
8%4 goals8%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
29%Scored in both halves21%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

BTTS and goal count

58%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
80%BTTS - last 540%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Garcilaso is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / game - Real Garcilaso · 1.29 pts / game - UCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
UCV Moquegua - half-time state
29% leading42% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per game (1st half)1.29
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.42
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.29Average goals (1st half)0.88
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
46%No goal before half-time63%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per game (2nd half)0.88
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)0.92
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.46
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
42%No goal after half-time58%
Real GarcilasoUCV Moquegua

Real Garcilaso - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
39
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

UCV Moquegua - second-half results

17% W38% R46% P
31
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Real Garcilaso - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.21.6
Average goals per game1.22.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-3
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
UCV Moquegua - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.80
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Real Garcilaso
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
7
6
16-30
4
4
31-45
5
8
46-60
6
7
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

UCV Moquegua
ScoredConceded
6
0
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Real Garcilaso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

UCV Moquegua

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Real GarcilasoLigaUCV Moquegua
Average goals per game 3.002.72 2.33
Both teams scored 67%58% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%52% 54%
Clean sheets 17%25% 29%
Goal before half-time 67%67% 67%
Goal after half-time 88%79% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+58%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defensive advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Real Garcilaso's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against UCV Moquegua. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Real Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua play?

Real Garcilaso face UCV Moquegua on September 5, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua?

Real Garcilaso score 1.50 goals per game on average and UCV Moquegua 0.96. The Primera División average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Real Garcilaso's matches and 46% of UCV Moquegua's.

What form are Real Garcilaso and UCV Moquegua in?

Over the last 5 games Real Garcilaso have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and UCV Moquegua 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua?

The statistical background for Real Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.