Spain - La LigaData current as of September 08, 2026

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Real Madrid plays Rayo Vallecano in La Liga (Spain). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026.

Recent form

Real Madrid has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Rayo Vallecano has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Real Madrid scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 0.75. Rayo Vallecano scores 1.75 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 3.00 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Real Madrid's games and 100% of Rayo Vallecano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 75%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Real Madrid has the higher season xG average, 2.38 to 1.28 per game. Real Madrid takes 20.0 shots per game, while Rayo Vallecano takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Real Madrid leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Real Madrid's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Rayo Vallecano, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

La Liga games average 3.00 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.16)
(7.93)
(13.61)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Real MadridRayo Vallecano
2.5Goals scored / game1.75
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0.75Goals allowed / game2.5
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
57%Average possession45%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
8.75Shots on target / game5.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

20Shots per game10.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
8.75Shots on target5.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
12.5%Shot conversion17.1%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
57%Possession45%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
2.38xG for1.28
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
1.14xG against1.77
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Shooting quality

Real Madrid: DominantRayo Vallecano: Counter-attacking
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
Accuracy (shots on target)44%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Real Madrid is 125% better for: last-5 form.

2.25 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid
WWWL
Season result split
75% W0% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-1
2.25 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.38Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%
Rayo Vallecano
LDLW
Season result split
25% W25% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.5xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Madrid is 43% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.75 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - Real Madrid · 2.5 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid scoring profile: very strong

Real Madrid scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).

Rayo Vallecano scoring profile: very strong

Rayo Vallecano scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).

10Goals scored (season)7
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
3Goals conceded (season)10
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
3.25Average goals per game4.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
75%2 goals50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
50%3 goals25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
50%4 goals0%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0%2 goals75%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0%3 goals25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0%4 goals25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0%BTTS in both halves25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
75%Scored in both halves50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
50%BTTS - last 5100%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Madrid is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1.25 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing
Rayo Vallecano - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
1.25Goals scored (1st half)1
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
1.75Average goals (1st half)2
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%No goal before half-time25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

After half-time (2nd half)

2.25Points per game (2nd half)1
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
1.25Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2.25
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
75%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano
25%No goal after half-time25%
Real MadridRayo Vallecano

Real Madrid - second-half results

75% W0% R25% P
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Rayo Vallecano - second-half results

25% W25% R50% P
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Real Madrid - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.502.25
Goals scored / game1.31.3
Goals allowed / game0.50.3
Average goals per game1.81.5
1 goal75%100%
2 goals75%25%
3 goals25%25%
Clean sheet50%75%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 0% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 5
Rayo Vallecano - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.251.00
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.5
Average goals per game2.02.3
1 goal75%100%
2 goals50%75%
3 goals50%25%
Clean sheet50%25%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 25% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Real Madrid
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Rayo Vallecano
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Real Madrid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Rayo Vallecano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Real MadridLigaRayo Vallecano
Average goals per game 3.253.00 4.25
Both teams scored 50%54% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%56% 75%
Clean sheets 25%28% 0%
Goal before half-time 75%66% 75%
Goal after half-time 100%78% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Real Madrid's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Rayo Vallecano. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Real Madrid CF
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 0
Real Madrid CF

FAQ

When do Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano play?

Real Madrid face Rayo Vallecano on September 12, 2026 in La Liga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

Real Madrid score 2.50 goals per game on average and Rayo Vallecano 1.75. The La Liga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Real Madrid's matches and 100% of Rayo Vallecano's.

What form are Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano in?

Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Rayo Vallecano 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?

The statistical background for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.