Spain - La LigaEstadio Santiago BernabéuData current as of October 15, 2026

Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Real Madrid plays Sevilla FC in La Liga (Spain). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.

Recent form

Real Madrid has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sevilla FC has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Real Madrid scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 1.00. Sevilla FC scores 1.63 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Real Madrid's games and 75% of Sevilla FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 63%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Real Madrid has the higher season xG average, 2.05 to 1.37 per game. Real Madrid takes 17.9 shots per game, while Sevilla FC takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Real Madrid leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Sevilla FC leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.25 after halftime.

When the teams score

Real Madrid's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Sevilla FC, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

La Liga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.25)
(6.30)
(11.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Real MadridSevilla FC
2.38Goals scored / game1.63
Real MadridSevilla FC
1Goals allowed / game1.5
Real MadridSevilla FC
52%Average possession42%
Real MadridSevilla FC
7.13Shots on target / game4.25
Real MadridSevilla FC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.88Shots per game11.88
Real MadridSevilla FC
7.13Shots on target4.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
13.3%Shot conversion13.7%
Real MadridSevilla FC
52%Possession42%
Real MadridSevilla FC
2.05xG for1.37
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.45xG against1.44
Real MadridSevilla FC

Shooting quality

Real Madrid: AttackingSevilla FC: Counter-attacking
Real MadridSevilla FC
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Real Madrid is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1.6 pts / game - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid
LWWLW
Season result split
75% W0% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-2
2.25 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Sevilla FC
DWWLD
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 away
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Madrid is 46% better for: goals scored per game.

2.38 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.63 goals / game - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Real Madrid · 1.5 goals / game - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid scoring profile: very strong

Real Madrid scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Sevilla FC keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

Sevilla FC scoring profile: very strong

Sevilla FC scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).

19Goals scored (season)13
Real MadridSevilla FC
8Goals conceded (season)12
Real MadridSevilla FC
3.38Average goals per game3.13
Real MadridSevilla FC
9Goals scored (last 5)7
Real MadridSevilla FC
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Real MadridSevilla FC

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal100%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%2 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%3 goals25%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%4 goals0%
Real MadridSevilla FC

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
Real MadridSevilla FC
25%2 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%3 goals38%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%4 goals0%
Real MadridSevilla FC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%Scored in both halves25%
Real MadridSevilla FC

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Real MadridSevilla FC
60%BTTS - last 560%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Real MadridSevilla FC
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Madrid is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / game - Real Madrid · 1.25 pts / game - Sevilla FC

Real Madrid - half-time state
38% leading63% draw0% trailing
Sevilla FC - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per game (1st half)1.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.25Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Real MadridSevilla FC
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
Real MadridSevilla FC
75%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC
38%No goal before half-time63%
Real MadridSevilla FC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.63Points per game (2nd half)2
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
Real MadridSevilla FC
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
Real MadridSevilla FC
1.88Average goals (2nd half)2.13
Real MadridSevilla FC
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Real MadridSevilla FC
13%No goal after half-time13%
Real MadridSevilla FC

Real Madrid - second-half results

50% W13% D38% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sevilla FC - second-half results

63% W13% D25% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Real Madrid - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.01.2
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Sevilla FC - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.62.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Real Madrid
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Sevilla FC
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-54%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
88%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Real Madrid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Sevilla FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Real MadridLigaSevilla FC
Average goals per game▲ 3.383.09• 3.13
Both teams scored▲ 63%59%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%58%▲ 63%
Clean sheets• 25%24%• 25%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%68%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%82%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.09
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Real Madrid's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Sevilla FC. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Real Madrid and Sevilla FC play?

Real Madrid face Sevilla FC on October 18, 2026 in La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Sevilla FC?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Real Madrid won 2, Sevilla FC won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC?

Real Madrid score 2.38 goals per game on average and Sevilla FC 1.63. The La Liga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Real Madrid's matches and 75% of Sevilla FC's.

What form are Real Madrid and Sevilla FC in?

Over the last 5 games Real Madrid have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sevilla FC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.