Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: match statistics
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Real Monarchs play Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match date is 20 July 2026 at 03:30. Venue: America First Field. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Real Monarchs: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tacoma Defiance: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Real Monarchs scores 1.63 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Tacoma Defiance scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Real Monarchs 63%, Tacoma Defiance 42%. Over 2.5: Real Monarchs 74%, Tacoma Defiance 53%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Real Monarchs has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.36. Real Monarchs: 14.2 shots per match, Tacoma Defiance: 11.7.
Match halves
Real Monarchs: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.89. Tacoma Defiance: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Real Monarchs: 0-15 (6 goals). Tacoma Defiance: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-1-1. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Real Monarchs have a clear advantage in both the quality and quantity of offensive situations: average xG at home is 1.8 versus 1.34 for the away side, hosts average 5.9 SOT and 16.5 attempts per match vs 3.13 SOT and 11.75 attempts for the visitors. This translates into efficiency — Real scores on average 1.7 goals at home, while Tacoma only 1.0 away; for the whole season that is 29 goals scored vs 19. Defensively the teams are comparable: Real concedes 1.6 goals at home, Tacoma 1.75 on the road, and xG against is 1.5 vs 1.6, suggesting an even level at the back. Recent form over the last five matches favors the visitors in points (Tacoma 2.0 pts per match and 3 wins in 5 vs Real 1.4 pts and 2 wins), but Tacoma away has a 50% loss rate and fail to score in 38% of away games. Considering game control (57% possession), better quality of chances (1.8 xG and 5.9 SOT) and a superior home goals balance, I tip the home win; estimated probabilities: 58% Real, 22% draw, 20% Tacoma.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Real Monarchs | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tacoma Defiance is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Real Monarchs · 2 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Monarchs is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Real Monarchs · 1.21 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Tacoma Defiance is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Real Monarchs · 1.37 goals / match - Tacoma Defiance
Real Monarchs scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Tacoma Defiance keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Tacoma Defiance scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Real Monarchs keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Real Monarchs
Over / Under — Tacoma Defiance
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Monarchs is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Real Monarchs · 1.05 pts / match - Tacoma Defiance
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Monarchs - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tacoma Defiance - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Real Monarchs
Tacoma Defiance
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Real Monarchs | Liga | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 75% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Real Monarchs 2 - 1 - 1 Tacoma Defiance. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Real Monarchs 2:4 Tacoma Defiance. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 2, Tacoma Defiance won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tacoma Defiance 1.21. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Real Monarchs's matches and 42% of Tacoma Defiance's.
What form are Real Monarchs and Tacoma Defiance in?
Over the last 5 games Real Monarchs have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tacoma Defiance 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
The statistical background for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.