Real Salt Lake vs San Diego: match statistics
Real Salt Lake vs San Diego: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Real Salt Lake played against San Diego in MLS (United States). The game was played on April 19, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Real Salt Lake has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. San Diego has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Real Salt Lake scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.33. San Diego scores 2.00 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 83% of Real Salt Lake's games and 43% of San Diego's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 71%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Real Salt Lake has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.29 per game. Real Salt Lake takes 17.2 shots per game, while San Diego takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Real Salt Lake leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. San Diego leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Real Salt Lake's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For San Diego, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Real Salt Lake demonstrates a clear advantage in this matchup: at home they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and maintain a 100% home win rate this season, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. In home fixtures RSL averages 20.33 shots and 6.67 on target, with an average xG of 2.13 versus the opponent’s 1.21 xG, reflecting the quality of created chances. San Diego arrives in poor form — 0 wins in their last 5 matches, only 0.4 points per game and 14 goals conceded in that span; away they average 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded with xG for 1.00 and 3.33 shots on target. The visitors have a high possession percentage (64%) and a better conversion rate 17% vs RSL’s 11%, which gives them a one-goal chance from fewer opportunities, but it does not offset the overall home advantage. Based on this, I tip the home win — Real Salt Lake have superior form (2.6 pts per game in the last 5 vs 0.4), greater quantity and quality of chances, and defensive stability at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 72% probability versus 28% for No. Real Salt Lake averages 2.5 goals per match, has xG 1.51 and 6.25 shots on target on average; in their last 5 games they scored 12 and in all 5 matches both teams scored (12 goals for and 7 conceded), which strongly indicates the hosts score but also concede. San Diego averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded this season; in their last 5 matches they scored 6 and conceded 14 (avg. 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded), and they have 60% BTTS in their last 5 away games, so they have the potential to score despite lower efficiency. The difference in chance creation (Real Salt Lake avg. 13.0 shots and 6.25 SoT vs San Diego 8.0 shots and 3.33 SoT) combined with the league BTTS average of 56% further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. For these reasons the 'Yes' scenario is the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Real Salt Lake averages 2.5 goals scored per match this season (xG 1.51), and in the last 5 matches has xG 1.90 and scored 12 goals in those five games (avg 2.4). San Diego registers 1.33 goals scored seasonally (xG 1.00) and in the last 5 matches has scored 6 goals (avg 1.2), with average goals conceded 2.0 for the season and 2.8 in the last 5. Both teams frequently produce high-scoring games: seasonally Real has 75% of matches over 2.5 goals, San Diego 67%, and in the last 5 matches both sides had 100% of games above 2.5 goals. Real has a clear attacking advantage (13 shots and 6.25 on target vs 8 and 3.33 for San Diego) and a higher conversion rate (19% vs 17%), increasing the hosts’ likelihood to score. Overall, based on a weighted view of seasonal and last-5 xG, I expect about 1.84 goals for Real and 1.20 for San Diego (total ~3.04), therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess its probability at ~95%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Real Salt Lake is the favorite: they score an average of 2.5 goals per game versus 1.33 for San Diego and generate higher xG (1.51 vs 1.00), with the home side averaging 13 shots and 6.25 on target compared to 8 and 3.33 for the visitors. In the first half Real average 1.25 goals by the break and in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5), while San Diego led at the break in only 20% (1 of 5), which supports a home lead at 45 minutes. San Diego’s defense is weaker over the season — the visitors concede 2.0 goals per game versus 1.0 conceded by Real, and xG against for the visitors is 1.59 versus 1.37 for the home side, so Real are more likely to hold the lead. On this basis I assign the highest probability to the 1/1 scenario (42%); overall I assess 63% chance of a home win, 26% for a draw and 11% for an away win. Therefore I recommend a 1/1 HT/FT bet — strong xG, shot metrics and recent form (last 5: Real 80% wins vs San Diego 0%) indicate Real are most likely to be leading at half-time and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Real Salt Lake | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Real Salt Lake is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Real Salt Lake · 1 pts / game - San Diego
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Real Salt Lake · 1.43 goals / game - San Diego
Real Salt Lake scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while San Diego keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
San Diego scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Real Salt Lake keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Real Salt Lake
Over / Under - San Diego
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Salt Lake is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Real Salt Lake · 1.86 pts / game - San Diego
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Real Salt Lake - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
San Diego - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 43%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Real Salt Lake | Liga | San Diego | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 3.12 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 57% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Real Salt Lake's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against San Diego. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
The MLS match finished Real Salt Lake 4:2 San Diego. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
Real Salt Lake score 2.00 goals per game on average and San Diego 2.00. The MLS average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Real Salt Lake's matches and 43% of San Diego's.
What form are Real Salt Lake and San Diego in?
Over the last 5 games Real Salt Lake have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and San Diego 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Real Salt Lake vs San Diego?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.