Reggiana vs Ravenna: match statistics

Both teams are in poor form, but Reggiana have taken 4 points from their last five matches, while Ravenna have managed only 2. The hosts have won 1 of their last five games and scored 4 goals, whereas the visitors have recorded no victories during this period despite scoring 6 goals. Reggiana’s defensive advantage is the key factor: they have conceded 7 goals in five matches, compared with Ravenna’s 12, an average of 2.4 per game. Ravenna have drawn twice, which increases the likelihood of a share of the points, but a run of three consecutive defeats and clear defensive problems point towards a narrow home win. The lack of complete season-long data limits confidence in the prediction, so Reggiana’s advantage remains moderate.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60% each and providing a direct signal for goals from both sides. During this period, Ravenna conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, while Reggiana conceded 1.4, indicating that both defenses regularly allow opponents to create chances. Their attacking potential is supported by the xG figures: Reggiana averaged 1.26 xG, while Ravenna produced 1.59 xG per match. The hosts scored only 4 goals in five matches, so the risk of them failing to score remains real; however, Ravenna’s weak defense, having conceded 12 goals, clearly increases their chances. Therefore, the most likely scenario is BTTS - Yes at 57%.

The assessment is based primarily on the last five matches, as broader season data is unavailable. Ravenna conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game during this period, while Reggiana, despite scoring just 0.8 goals, created chances worth 1.26 xG, giving the hosts a realistic route to finding the net. The visitors scored an average of 1.2 goals and generated 1.59 xG, while Reggiana allowed opponents 1.55 xG and conceded 1.4 goals per match. Both teams recorded Both Teams to Score outcomes in 60% of their last five appearances, which is why the Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest support. Caution at higher lines is warranted, as Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of matches for each side in this sample.

The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: Reggiana were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, while Ravenna did so in 60%, with neither team going into half-time leading during this period. Both sides averaged just 0.4 goals scored before the break, whereas Ravenna conceded 1.0 goal per match in this phase compared with Reggiana’s 0.6. After the interval, the hosts should gain the upper hand, as Ravenna conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches, including 1.4 in the second half. Reggiana have only one win in five outings, but Ravenna have failed to win any, earning just 0.4 points per match and losing 60% of their games. The X/1 scenario best combines the high probability of a cautious start with the visitors’ clearly weaker defensive performance after the break.