Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour: match statistics
Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Reyady Abaseya played Tadamon Sour in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 29 July 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Reyady Abaseya: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tadamon Sour: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Reyady Abaseya scores 0.92 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Tadamon Sour scores 0.67 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Reyady Abaseya 33%, Tadamon Sour 29%. Over 2.5: Reyady Abaseya 46%, Tadamon Sour 29%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Reyady Abaseya has higher xG: 0.96 vs 0.95. Reyady Abaseya: 5.8 shots per match, Tadamon Sour: 5.3.
Match halves
Reyady Abaseya: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Tadamon Sour: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Reyady Abaseya: 76-90+ (6 goals). Tadamon Sour: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tadamon Sour has the edge in chance creation: average away xG is 1.02 versus Reyada Abaseya’s xG of 0.84, and average shots on target are 3.55 vs 2.22. Despite nearly identical average goals (Reyada 0.82 at home vs Tadamon 0.83 away), the hosts fail to score in 64% of home matches versus 50% for the visitors, indicating greater offensive inconsistency from the home side. Defensively the differences are marginal – Reyada concedes 1.18 goals at home, Tadamon 1.25 away, with clean sheets of 36% vs 33% respectively. Both teams show similar form (1.4 points over the last 5 matches), but the higher away win rate for visitors (25% vs 18%) together with superior xG and shot metrics leads me to favor a Tadamon Sour win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics strongly favor No Goal, as the home side averages only 0.5 goals per match this season and the away side 0.83, with seasonal BTTS rates of 25% (Reyady) and 33% (Tadamon) versus a league average of 32%. The home team kept a clean sheet in 58% of matches compared to 33% for the visitors, meaning the hosts prevent opponents from scoring far more often (a 25 percentage point gap). From an xG quality perspective, the home xG_for is 0.87 versus xG_against for the visitors of 1.24, while the away side has xG_for 1.02 (last 5 matches 1.35) — this gives the visitors a slight offensive edge but does not offset the high clean sheet rate of the hosts. Additionally, shot conversion is low (conversion to goals 10% vs 14%) and average shots on target are 2.82 vs 3.55; combined with low over 2.5 rates (25–33%), this strengthens the signal for BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG: Reyady Abaseya has xG_for 0.87 and Tadamon Sour xG_against 1.24, yielding expected home goals of about 1.06; similarly Tadamon with xG_for 1.02 and home xG_against 1.14 has about 1.08, totaling ~2.14 goals. Seasonal goal averages are low (Reyady 0.5, Tadamon 0.83, sum 1.33), but form over the last 5 matches shows an offensive uptick (last 5: Reyady 1.6, Tadamon 1.0), explaining the gap between season figures and xG. Probabilistic models with λ=2.14 give ~63% chance for Over 1.5 and ~17% for Over 3.5, and these figures align with seasonal Over 3.5 rates: home 8% and away 25% (average ~17%). Additionally, the home side has 58% clean sheets, while BTTS occurs in only 25% and 33% of matches, which lowers the probability of a high-scoring game. Therefore I recommend Under 3.5 as the strongest signal (≈83% probability); alternatively Over 1.5 has a moderate edge (~63%) for a more aggressive bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the most likely scenario is a draw: hosts led at the break in only 8% of matches, visitors in 25%, and the half-time draw occurred in 67% of fixtures. I also favor a draw at full-time, since hosts kept a clean sheet in 58% of season matches, visitors in 33%, and the league-wide percentage of games with both teams scoring is only 32% — this indicates a low tendency for both teams to score. Offensive metrics are low: hosts’ xG is 0.87 versus visitors’ 1.02, average shots 5.36 vs 6.36 and conversion rate 10% vs 14%, meaning both sides generate below one expected goal per match. The hosts perform better in the second half (averaging 1.33 points in second halves versus 0.92 for the visitors), which increases the probability of maintaining a draw or producing an equalizer after the break. Consequently the strongest signal is draw at half-time and draw at full-time (X/X), so I assign the highest probability to this scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Reyady Abaseya | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reyady Abaseya is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Reyady Abaseya · 1.4 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reyady Abaseya is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Reyady Abaseya · 0.67 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Tadamon Sour is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Reyady Abaseya · 1.08 goals / match - Tadamon Sour
Reyady Abaseya scores in 46% of matches (11 of 24 matches), while Tadamon Sour keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Tadamon Sour scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while Reyady Abaseya keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Reyady Abaseya
Over / Under — Tadamon Sour
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reyady Abaseya is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Reyady Abaseya · 1.04 pts / match - Tadamon Sour
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Reyady Abaseya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tadamon Sour - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Reyady Abaseya
Tadamon Sour
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Reyady Abaseya | Liga | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 44% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Reyady Abaseya 1 - 2 - 0 Tadamon Sour. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Reyady Abaseya 2:1 Tadamon Sour. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Reyady Abaseya and Tadamon Sour?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Reyady Abaseya won 1, Tadamon Sour won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour?
Reyady Abaseya score 0.92 goals per game on average and Tadamon Sour 0.67. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Reyady Abaseya's matches and 29% of Tadamon Sour's.
What form are Reyady Abaseya and Tadamon Sour in?
Over the last 5 games Reyady Abaseya have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tadamon Sour 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour?
The statistical background for Reyady Abaseya vs Tadamon Sour — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.