Riga vs Liepāja: match statistics
Riga vs Liepāja: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Riga played against Liepāja in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 3, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Riga has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Liepāja has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Riga scores 3.56 goals per game and allows 1.33. Liepāja scores 1.11 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Riga's games and 67% of Liepāja's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 44%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Riga has the higher season xG average, 1.99 to 1.37 per game. Riga takes 16.9 shots per game, while Liepāja takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Riga leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.78 goals per game after halftime. Liepāja leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Riga's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Liepāja, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 4 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the clear favorite for this fixture — at home they average 3.67 goals per game, register 20.33 shots with 6 on target and 18% conversion, with a 67% win rate and 0% defeats at home. Liepāja away average only 1.25 goals, produce 15 shots (4 on target) with 8% conversion and have scored 10 goals this season versus Riga’s 32. Riga generates higher xG (2.21 at home vs 1.71 xG for Liepāja away) and creates more chances (20.33 vs 15), while Liepāja’s opponents record a higher xG against them (1.17 vs 0.69 for Riga), indicating the hosts’ superiority in quality and frequency of opportunities. Form corroborates the home advantage: Riga have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 2.2 points per game in that period, whereas Liepāja have only 1 win and 1.2 points per game. Considering the advantage in shot volume, conversion rate (18% vs 8%), higher xG and superior goals tally (32 vs 10), I predict a Riga victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics strongly favor a Both Teams To Score scenario: Riga has a season BTTS rate of 80% versus Liepāja's 50% and a league average of 60%. In the last 5 matches Liepāja shows BTTS in 100% of games and Riga in 60%, reinforcing the Goal/Goal signal. Riga have scored 32 and conceded 12 this season, while Liepāja have scored 10 and conceded 11; additionally Riga have no clean sheets at home (0%), whereas the visitors have 25% clean sheets. xG and shot data confirm the visitors' offensive pressure and the hosts' open play: Liepāja has xG 1.71 and 15 shots per game on average versus Riga xG 1.10 and 8.6 shots, and in the last 5 matches Riga average 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Liepāja average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Based on this I recommend BTTS - Yes with a probability of 80% and BTTS - No 20%, because the dominant signals (Riga's 80% season BTTS, visitors' 100% BTTS in last 5 and Riga's 0% clean sheets) point to a high likelihood of both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project expected goals: Riga 1.63 xG and Liepāja 1.08 xG, total 2.71 xG, which is close to the league average of 2.83. Seasonal indicators confirm high scoring potential: Riga have 80% of matches over 1.5 goals, Liepāja 75%, and both teams have 100% of matches with over 0.5 goals this season. Riga have scored on average 3.4 goals in their last 5 matches (17 goals in 5) and have a last5 xG of 2.07, while Liepāja have a last5 xG of 1.39 and average 15 shots per match with an 8% conversion rate, increasing the number of quality chances. Based on combined xG = 2.71 I estimate probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈75%, Over 2.5 ≈51% and Over 3.5 ≈29%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to the high seasonal frequency of over1.5 (80%/75%) and Riga’s form (3.4 goals per match, last5 xG 2.07), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga starts strongly: in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 4 of 5 games (80%) and averaged 2.2 goals by half-time (15 goals total), while Liepāja led at the break in 2 of 5 (40%) and averaged 0.6 goals by half-time. Seasonally Liepāja has a higher xG (1.71 versus 1.10 for Riga) and a higher points-per-game average (1.75 vs 1.00), indicating superior attacking quality over the long term. Nonetheless, in the short run Riga averaged 3.4 goals per match in the last 5 (vs 1.4 for the visitors) and won 3 of 5 matches (60%), increasing the likelihood of retaining a lead. Additionally, the seasonal percentage of matches in which both teams score is 80% for Riga versus 50% for Liepāja, which favors goals already before the break. On this basis, the strongest and most consistent signal is HT/FT 1/1 (Riga leads at the break and wins), which I regard as the best pick to play.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Riga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Riga is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Riga · 1.2 pts / game - Liepāja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 221% better for: goals scored per game.
3.56 goals / game - Riga · 1.11 goals / game - Liepāja
Liepāja is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Riga · 1.22 goals / game - Liepāja
Riga scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
Liepāja scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 meczów), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Riga
Over / Under - Liepāja
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / game - Riga · 1.11 pts / game - Liepāja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Riga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Riga
Liepāja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Riga | Liga | Liepāja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.89 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 19% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Riga's perspective: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Liepāja. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Riga vs Liepāja?
The Virsliga match finished Riga 1:0 Liepāja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Liepāja?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Riga won 4, Liepāja won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Liepāja?
Riga score 3.56 goals per game on average and Liepāja 1.11. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Riga's matches and 67% of Liepāja's.
What form are Riga and Liepāja in?
Over the last 5 games Riga have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Liepāja 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Liepāja?
The statistical background for Riga vs Liepāja — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.