Rīgas FS vs Riga: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rīgas FS played against Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on April 28, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Rīgas FS has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Riga has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Rīgas FS scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 0.38. Riga scores 3.63 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Rīgas FS's games and 63% of Riga's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 100%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Riga has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 2.01 per game. Rīgas FS takes 17.4 shots per game, while Riga takes 18.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Rīgas FS leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Riga leads at halftime in 75% and scores 1.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rīgas FS's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Riga, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga are favorites due to a clear offensive edge: 29 goals scored this season versus 13 for Rīgas FS and an average of 3.6 goals away with xG 2.01, which combined with a high shot conversion rate of 21% gives them an advantage in finishing chances. The hosts, however, show a solid home defense — conceding just 0.5 goals per match on average, with xG against 0.65 and clean sheets in 50% of home games, although they themselves score an average of 2.0 goals with an 11% conversion. The visitors have never failed to score away (0% of away games without a goal), win 80% of away matches and despite a similar away xG (2.01) produce 3.6 goals per game, indicating high efficiency. Both teams are in good form: Rīgas FS have a last-5 record of 4 wins and 1 loss (averaging 2.4 points per game), and Riga 4 wins and 1 draw (averaging 2.6 points per game), so I expect an even but open match. Considering the visitors' superior conversion (21% vs 11%) and the fact that Riga regularly scores on the road, I predict a Riga win, although the scoreline should include goals from both sides.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long indicators strongly favor BTTS: Rīgas FS has 67% of matches with both teams scoring, Riga 60%, and the league average is 61%—meaning in 6 out of 10 matches both sides score. Both teams generate significant offensive quality: season average goals 3.67 (home) vs 3.6 (away), xG 2.21 vs 2.01 and 6.0 vs 6.8 shots on target with conversion rates of 18% and 21%, which supports goal scoring. Seasonally Rīgas FS concedes on average 1.67 goals per game, and Riga 0.8; in the last 5 matches the hosts have only 20% BTTS and concede 0.4 goals, while Riga in their last 5 score 4.4 and concede 0.8 on average, showing a very strong away attack. Both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, and the share of over2.5 with BTTS is 67%/60%, so overall the seasonal and xG signals outweigh the hosts’ short form. Consequently I tip 'BTTS - Yes' as the more probable scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields total expected goals of 2.98: home ~1.63 ((2.21 xG attack + 1.05 opponent defense xG)/2 = 1.63), away ~1.35 ((2.01 + 0.69)/2 = 1.35). A Poisson with λ=2.98 suggests ~57% probability of ≥3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~35% for ≥4 goals (Over 3.5). However, seasonal data strongly point to a higher goals environment: home score an average of 3.67 goals per game, away 3.60, and seasonOver25Percentage for both teams is 100% with BTTS 67% (home) and 60% (away). In the last 5 matches the away side scored 22 goals (4.4 avg) while the home scored 6 (1.2 avg); additionally the home register 20.33 shots with an 18% conversion vs opponents’ 16.8 shots and 21% conversion, which raises the realistic scoring potential. Taking xG 2.98, the firm seasonal 100% over 2.5 for both teams and high BTTS into account, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest line (estimated Over 2.5 = 78%), with a high probability of Over 1.5 (95%) and a moderate chance of Over 3.5 (56%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics favor the away team: in the last 5 matches the away side scored 14 goals by the break (2.8 per game) while the home side managed only 3 (0.6). Season-to-date the away team has an 80% win rate compared to 67% for the home team, and in the last 5 fixtures the away side led at the break in 100% of cases versus just 40% for the home side. Although the hosts have a higher average xG (2.21 vs 2.01) and seasonally more goals before the break (2.0 vs 1.8), the away advantage is confirmed by a superior shot-to-goal conversion rate (21% vs 18%) and more goals in the 0–15 minute window (3 vs 0). On this basis the most likely scenario is 2/2 (away lead at the break and away win) — I assign it a 42% probability; X/2 receives 18%, while the remaining outcomes carry substantially lower probabilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.56 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Riga is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 2.6 pts / game - Riga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 123% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 3.63 goals / game - Riga
Rīgas FS is 197% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.38 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 1.13 goals / game - Riga
Rīgas FS scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 meczów), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 meczów).
Riga scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 meczów), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 63% (5 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - Riga
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 2.38 pts / game - Riga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 88%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +10 | +8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rīgas FS
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.70 | ▲ 4.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 20% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rīgas FS's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Riga. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 3:3 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and Riga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 1, Riga won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Rīgas FS score 1.63 goals per game on average and Riga 3.63. The Virsliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Rīgas FS's matches and 63% of Riga's.
What form are Rīgas FS and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs Riga?
The statistical background for Rīgas FS vs Riga — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.