Rīgas FS vs Tukums: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rīgas FS played against Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 25, 2026. Venue: RTU stadions. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Rīgas FS has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Tukums has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Rīgas FS scores 2.36 goals per game and allows 0.64. Tukums scores 2.00 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Rīgas FS's games and 93% of Tukums's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 71%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rīgas FS has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.39 per game. Rīgas FS takes 17.7 shots per game, while Tukums takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Rīgas FS leads at halftime in 57% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Tukums leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rīgas FS's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Tukums, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 5 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS approaches the match as league leaders with a record of 12 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season; they have won all 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals (3.4 per game). At home the hosts average 2.86 goals, 17.14 shots and 6.29 on target, with an xG of 2.00 and only 0.71 goals conceded, indicating both high-quality chance creation and a solid defense. Tukums have no away wins yet (0% wins), recording 67% draws and 33% losses, concede 2.00 goals on average and have a lower xG (1.39) than xG against (1.64), pointing to greater defensive issues. The visitors have nonetheless scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches overall (3.2 average), but away they produce only 11.33 shots and 4.33 on target with 46% possession versus 61% and 6.29 on target for the hosts, so the advantage should remain with the home side. Considering the higher xG (2.00 vs 1.39), better efficiency and 57% clean sheets at home versus 0% for the visitors, the highest probability favors a Rīgas FS victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The analysis favors the 'Both Teams To Score' scenario. Seasonal BTTS rates are 88% for Rīgas FS and 100% for Tukums, versus a league average of 60%. Rīgas FS have scored 33 and conceded 9 this season (avg 2.25 GF, 1.5 GA), while Tukums have 28 GF and 24 GA (1.67 GF, 2.0 GA), indicating both sides regularly find the net. Both teams' xG are 1.39 each, xG against are 1.53 vs 1.64, and shots on target are 5.13 vs 4.33 with conversion rates of 20% vs 15%, reflecting genuine offensive potential from both teams. Contrary signals: Rīgas have only 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches and concede 0.6 GA on average in that period, but Tukums have 80% BTTS in their last 5 and 0% clean sheets this season, which strongly supports a Goal/Goal outcome. Considering dominant seasonal profiles (88% and 100% BTTS, 0% CS for Tukums) alongside xG and shot stats, I tip BTTS - Yes with an 85% probability versus 15% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Rīgas FS scores on average 2.25 goals per match this season, while Tukums averages 1.67; in the last 5 matches the hosts averaged 3.4 goals and the visitors 3.2, indicating clear offensive form from both sides. xG analysis over the last 5 matches: Rīgas FS attacking xG = 2.38 and Tukums defensive xG = 1.43 yield a projected home xG ≈1.91; likewise Tukums attacking xG = 1.77 and Rīgas FS defensive xG = 0.99 give an away xG ≈1.38, totaling ≈3.29 expected goals. Season metrics confirm a high-scoring profile: over 1.5 has occurred in 100% of matches for both teams, over 2.5 in 75% of Rīgas FS games and 67% of Tukums games, while BTTS stands at 88% (hosts) and 100% (away). Considering the season rates (75%/67% for over 2.5) and the last 5 matches (over 2.5 in 80% for both), I estimate over 2.5 at about 76%, but the strongest and most reliable signal is over 1.5 (seasonally 100%/100%). Over 3.5 is less certain: seasonally 50% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors (average ≈42%); accounting for form I assign over 3.5 roughly 45%, therefore I primarily recommend over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Rīgas FS has a clear advantage in form and first halves: they won 100% of their last 5 matches and held a lead at the break in 80% of them; over the season they led at half-time in 38% of matches, averaging 1.0 goals by the break (last 5: 1.8). Tukums led at the break in only 17% of the season’s matches and shows 0% wins and 67% draws in the available statistics, suggesting the visitors are prone to share points rather than secure wins. Rīgas average 2.25 goals per match versus Tukums’s 1.67, with identical average xG of 1.39 for both teams, but Rīgas demonstrate higher finishing efficiency (20% vs 15%) and a better average of shots on target (5.13 vs 4.33), which increases the likelihood of maintaining and extending a lead. Consequently the most probable scenario is a Rīgas lead at half-time and a Rīgas full-time victory (1/1), assigned the highest probability of 34%, whereas half-time draw/full-time draw (X/X) at 10% or an away win (2/2) at 5% are assessed as considerably less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rīgas FS is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 1.6 pts / game - Tukums
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
2.36 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 2 goals / game - Tukums
Rīgas FS is 167% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.64 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 1.71 goals / game - Tukums
Rīgas FS scores in 93% of games (13 of 14 meczów), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).
Tukums scores in 100% of games (14 of 14 meczów), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 64% (9 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - Tukums
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 1.14 pts / game - Tukums
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rīgas FS
Tukums
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | Tukums | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 60% | ▲ 93% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 64% | 21% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rīgas FS's perspective: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tukums. Games average 5.20 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 3:1 Tukums. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and Tukums?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 5, Tukums won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Rīgas FS score 2.36 goals per game on average and Tukums 2.00. The Virsliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Rīgas FS's matches and 93% of Tukums's.
What form are Rīgas FS and Tukums in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Tukums 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The statistical background for Rīgas FS vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.