Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both sides. Rio Ave FC displays poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a 43% loss rate, averaging 1 goal scored per game. Casa Pia holds a better win record in away fixtures (38%), but they concede an average of 1.75 goals per game. Both teams share an identical goal difference (-5) and identical form over the last 5 matches (1 point per game). The xG statistics are nearly identical for both squads, further confirming the balanced nature of this clash. Given Rio Ave's high draw percentage at home (43%) and the general offensive struggles of both teams, a draw appears the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight edge in possession gives them a marginally higher chance of victory.
Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rio Ave FC played against Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Rio Ave FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Casa Pia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Rio Ave FC scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 1.75. Casa Pia scores 1.00 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Rio Ave FC's games and 44% of Casa Pia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 44%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rio Ave FC has the higher season xG average, 1.03 to 0.95 per game. Rio Ave FC takes 9.2 shots per game, while Casa Pia takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Rio Ave FC leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Casa Pia leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rio Ave FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Casa Pia, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests very even chances for both sides. Rio Ave FC displays poor home form with only a 14% win rate and a 43% loss rate, averaging 1 goal scored per game. Casa Pia holds a better win record in away fixtures (38%), but they concede an average of 1.75 goals per game. Both teams share an identical goal difference (-5) and identical form over the last 5 matches (1 point per game). The xG statistics are nearly identical for both squads, further confirming the balanced nature of this clash. Given Rio Ave's high draw percentage at home (43%) and the general offensive struggles of both teams, a draw appears the most probable outcome, although the hosts' slight edge in possession gives them a marginally higher chance of victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rio Ave FC | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rio Ave FC is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Rio Ave FC · 1 goals / game - Casa Pia
Rio Ave FC scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
Casa Pia scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while Rio Ave FC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rio Ave FC
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rio Ave FC is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Rio Ave FC · 0.88 pts / game - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rio Ave FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 19%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rio Ave FC
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Rio Ave FC | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.94 | 2.73 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished Rio Ave FC 3:1 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia?
Rio Ave FC score 1.19 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Rio Ave FC's matches and 44% of Casa Pia's.
What form are Rio Ave FC and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games Rio Ave FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casa Pia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia?
The statistical background for Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.