Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Rionegro Águilas have scored 9 goals while conceding 6 in their last five matches, resulting in a goal difference of +3, whereas Deportivo Pasto has an impressive 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded (+5). Deportivo Pasto presents better form with 1.8 points per game in the last five matches compared to 1.4 points for Rionegro Águilas. However, a key factor is that both teams have had one match in the current season with a minimal number of goals (1 goal each), suggesting a cautious approach and a defensive stance. Given the visitors' slight advantage in form and the balance of power, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the hosts may leverage the home field advantage.
Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Rionegro Águilas play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 25 January 2026 at 22:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Rionegro Águilas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Rionegro Águilas scores 1.05 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Rionegro Águilas 58%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Rionegro Águilas 47%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Pasto has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.17. Rionegro Águilas: 10.9 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.
Match halves
Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.74. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (6 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Rionegro Águilas have scored 9 goals while conceding 6 in their last five matches, resulting in a goal difference of +3, whereas Deportivo Pasto has an impressive 8 goals scored and only 3 conceded (+5). Deportivo Pasto presents better form with 1.8 points per game in the last five matches compared to 1.4 points for Rionegro Águilas. However, a key factor is that both teams have had one match in the current season with a minimal number of goals (1 goal each), suggesting a cautious approach and a defensive stance. Given the visitors' slight advantage in form and the balance of power, a draw seems the most likely scenario, although the hosts may leverage the home field advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Rionegro Águilas | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rionegro Águilas is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Pasto is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Rionegro Águilas scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Rionegro Águilas
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Pasto is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rionegro Águilas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Rionegro Águilas
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Rionegro Águilas | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.37 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Rionegro Águilas 0 - 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Rionegro Águilas 1:2 Deportivo Pasto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rionegro Águilas and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rionegro Águilas won 0, Deportivo Pasto won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto?
Rionegro Águilas score 1.05 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Rionegro Águilas's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Rionegro Águilas and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Rionegro Águilas have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rionegro Águilas vs Deportivo Pasto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.