Roma vs AC Milan: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Roma presents impressive home form with a 70% win rate and only 0.5 goals conceded on average per game; however, AC Milan is unbeaten away this season (0% losses) and possesses a better scoring average (1.7 goals). A key factor is that Roma does not draw at home (0% draws), while AC Milan has a 40% draw rate away, suggesting a defensive approach from the visitors. Both teams are in excellent form over the last 5 matches (Roma 2.4 PPG, AC Milan 2.2 PPG) and have high clean sheet ratios (50% each). Given Roma's strength at home and AC Milan's solidity on the road, the most likely scenario is a balanced duel ending in a split of points.
Roma vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Roma played against AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Roma has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. AC Milan has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Roma scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 0.57. AC Milan scores 1.62 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.38 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 24% of Roma's games and 52% of AC Milan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 24% and 48%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Roma has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.57 per game. Roma takes 13.7 shots per game, while AC Milan takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Roma leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. AC Milan leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Roma's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For AC Milan, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.38 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Roma presents impressive home form with a 70% win rate and only 0.5 goals conceded on average per game; however, AC Milan is unbeaten away this season (0% losses) and possesses a better scoring average (1.7 goals). A key factor is that Roma does not draw at home (0% draws), while AC Milan has a 40% draw rate away, suggesting a defensive approach from the visitors. Both teams are in excellent form over the last 5 matches (Roma 2.4 PPG, AC Milan 2.2 PPG) and have high clean sheet ratios (50% each). Given Roma's strength at home and AC Milan's solidity on the road, the most likely scenario is a balanced duel ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Roma | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Roma is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Roma · 2.2 pts / game - AC Milan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Roma · 1.62 goals / game - AC Milan
Roma is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.57 goals / game - Roma · 0.76 goals / game - AC Milan
Roma scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
AC Milan scores in 95% of games (20 of 21 meczów), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Roma
Over / Under - AC Milan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Roma is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / game - Roma · 1.48 pts / game - AC Milan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Roma - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Roma
AC Milan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Roma | Liga | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.81 | 2.38 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 44% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 32% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Roma's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against AC Milan. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Roma vs AC Milan?
The Serie A match finished Roma 1:1 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Roma vs AC Milan?
Roma score 1.24 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.62. The Serie A average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Roma's matches and 52% of AC Milan's.
What form are Roma and AC Milan in?
Over the last 5 games Roma have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AC Milan 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Roma vs AC Milan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Roma vs AC Milan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.