England - EFL League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Rotherham United play Mansfield Town in EFL League One (England). The match date is 3 March 2026 at 20:45.

Current form

Rotherham United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mansfield Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Rotherham United scores 0.89 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Mansfield Town scores 1.35 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Rotherham United 41%, Mansfield Town 54%. Over 2.5: Rotherham United 52%, Mansfield Town 46%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Mansfield Town has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.18. Rotherham United: 10.3 shots per match, Mansfield Town: 11.5.

Match halves

Rotherham United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.48. Mansfield Town: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.

Goals by minute

Rotherham United: 16-30 (8 goals). Mansfield Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.85)
(3.10)
(2.24)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
0.89Goals scored / match1.35
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
1.54Goals conceded / match1.09
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
46%Average possession46%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
3.13Shots on target / match3.59
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.33Shots per match11.5
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
3.13Shots on target3.59
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
8.6%Shot conversion11.7%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
46%Possession46%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
1.18xG for1.28
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
1.45xG against1.38
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

Shooting quality

Rotherham United: BalancedMansfield Town: Balanced
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
Accuracy (shots on target)30%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mansfield Town is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Rotherham United · 2.2 pts / match - Mansfield Town

Rotherham United
LWLDL
Season result split
22% W24% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-11-25
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-9-8
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mansfield Town
DWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W37% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-17-13
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-9-7
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mansfield Town is 52% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.35 goals / match - Mansfield Town

Mansfield Town is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.54 goals / match - Rotherham United · 1.09 goals / match - Mansfield Town

Rotherham United scoring profile: mixed

Rotherham United scores in 57% of matches (26 of 46 matches), while Mansfield Town keeps a clean sheet in 35% (16 of 46 matches).

Mansfield Town scoring profile: very strong

Mansfield Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).

41Goals scored (season)62
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
71Goals conceded (season)50
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
2.43Average goals in match2.43
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
5Goals scored (last 5)12
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal74%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
26%2 goals35%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
4%3 goals15%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
2%4 goals9%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal65%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
46%2 goals35%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
24%3 goals7%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
4%4 goals2%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
Rotherham United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 46 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time15%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
2%BTTS in both halves0%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
11%Scored in both halves20%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
40%BTTS - last 560%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mansfield Town is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / match - Rotherham United · 1.41 pts / match - Mansfield Town

Rotherham United - half-time state
28% leading26% draw46% trailing
Mansfield Town - half-time state
33% leading43% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per match (1st half)1.41
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.57
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
1.11Average goals (1st half)1
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
67%No goal before half-time59%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.43
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
48%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town
65%No goal after half-time48%
Rotherham UnitedMansfield Town

Rotherham United - second-half results

22% W35% R43% P
51
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mansfield Town - second-half results

35% W33% R33% P
65
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
63
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Rotherham United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Mansfield Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+6-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Rotherham United
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
8
11
16-30
6
12
31-45
7
13
46-60
8
11
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Mansfield Town
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
12
6
16-30
7
7
31-45
12
10
46-60
11
11
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Rotherham United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Mansfield Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-18.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Rotherham UnitedLigaMansfield Town
Average goals in match 2.432.62 2.43
Both teams scored 41%52% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%51% 46%
Clean sheets 22%27% 35%
Goal before half-time 78%70% 63%
Goal after half-time 72%81% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Rotherham United 0 - 0 - 1 Mansfield Town. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Mansfield Town FC
2 : 1
Rotherham United FC

FAQ

When do Rotherham United and Mansfield Town play?

Rotherham United face Mansfield Town on 3 March 2026 in EFL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

Rotherham United score 0.89 goals per game on average and Mansfield Town 1.35. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Rotherham United's matches and 54% of Mansfield Town's.

What form are Rotherham United and Mansfield Town in?

Over the last 5 games Rotherham United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mansfield Town 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town?

The statistical background for Rotherham United vs Mansfield Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.