Rutsiro vs AS Kigali: match statistics
Rutsiro vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rutsiro played against AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on May 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Rutsiro has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. AS Kigali has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Rutsiro scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.38. AS Kigali scores 0.73 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 2.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Rutsiro's games and 39% of AS Kigali's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 30%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
AS Kigali has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.14 per game. Rutsiro takes 6.7 shots per game, while AS Kigali takes 7.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Rutsiro leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. AS Kigali leads at halftime in 6% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rutsiro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For AS Kigali, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.10 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an AS Kigali win. The visitors have 7 wins this season versus Rutsiro’s 5 and a 31% away win rate compared to just 7% home wins for the hosts. In the last 5 matches both teams averaged 0.8 points and one win each. Defensively AS Kigali is better — Rutsiro conceded 44 goals this season, averaging 1.40 goals conceded at home, while AS Kigali conceded 36 goals and 1.31 on the road; the visitors also have 38% clean sheets away versus 27% for the hosts. Offensive stats are similar: Rutsiro at home average 0.93 goals and xG 1.22 with 3.23 shots on target, and AS Kigali away 0.94 goals and xG 1.18 with 2.43 shots on target; conversion rate is 13% for both teams, but the hosts failed to score in 47% of home matches versus 25% of matches with no goals by the visitors. Considering the visitors’ advantage in away win percentage (31% vs 7%), better defense and much lower share of matches without scoring (25% vs 47%), I give the visitors a 52% chance to win, 28% for a draw and 20% for the hosts to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I rate No BTTS (No Goal) as more likely (60% vs 40%) based on seasonal indicators: Rutsiro has BTTS 38%, AS Kigali 44%, while the league average is 45%, so both teams are below/around league level. Both sides kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches, and the league percentage of fixtures with at least one clean sheet is 68%, increasing the likelihood that one side will not score. Offensively they average only 0.56 (Rutsiro) and 0.94 (AS Kigali) goals per match, and in the last 5 games they have 0.6 and 0.8 goals, which limits the probability that both will score. Although xG_for is 1.28 for Rutsiro and 1.18 for AS Kigali with xG_against around 1.3–1.42 (so technical scoring potential exists), the gap between xG and actual goals (0.56 vs 1.28 and 0.94 vs 1.18) and the lower home conversion (7% vs 13% for the visitors) together favor the 'No' (No BTTS) scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 1.28 (Rutsiro) + 1.18 (AS Kigali) = 2.46 xG per match, while seasonal goals scored averages are 0.56 for Rutsiro and 0.94 for AS Kigali. Rutsiro average 8.56 shots with a 7% conversion (≈0.60 goals from shots), AS Kigali 7.71 shots with 13% conversion (≈1.00 goal), so actual finishing is below xG. Adjusting the combined xG = 2.46 for low conversion and seasonal averages, I project about 0.90 goals for the home side and 1.25 for the away side, ~2.15 goals total. That translates to estimated probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈ 63%, Over 2.5 ≈ 36%, Over 3.5 ≈ 17% — seasonal Over 1.5 rates are 50% (Rutsiro) and 69% (AS Kigali), and the last 5 matches for both teams show 60% Over 2.5, which further increases the chance of at least two goals. Best play is an Over on the 1.5 line, since combined xG 2.46 and a forecasted 2.15 goals provide a meaningful probability of at least two strikes despite low shot conversion.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is a draw at half-time: the home side were level at the break in 63% of matches and the visitors in 69%, giving roughly a 66% chance of an HT draw. First halves are low-scoring – home teams average 0.13 goals by half-time, visitors 0.31, so a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline at the break is most likely. In the second half the visitors dominate – second-half goals average 1.38 for the away side versus 1.00 for the homes, and the visitors win the second half 38% of the time compared to 13% for the hosts, which increases the number of turnarounds after the break. Additionally, the visitors have higher finishing efficiency (shot conversion 13% vs 7%) and a higher share of full-time wins (31% vs 13% for the hosts), so I project a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of draw at the break and an away win by full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rutsiro | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rutsiro is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Rutsiro · 0.73 goals / game - AS Kigali
AS Kigali is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Rutsiro · 1.15 goals / game - AS Kigali
Rutsiro scores in 53% of games (17 of 32 meczów), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 meczów).
AS Kigali scores in 58% of games (19 of 33 meczów), while Rutsiro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rutsiro
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rutsiro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Rutsiro · 0.82 pts / game - AS Kigali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rutsiro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rutsiro
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Rutsiro | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.25 | 2.10 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 37% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Rutsiro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against AS Kigali. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rutsiro vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Rutsiro 2:1 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Rutsiro vs AS Kigali?
Rutsiro score 0.88 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.73. The National Soccer League average is 2.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Rutsiro's matches and 39% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Rutsiro and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Rutsiro have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AS Kigali 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rutsiro vs AS Kigali?
The statistical background for Rutsiro vs AS Kigali — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.