Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sacramento Republic play Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sacramento Republic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sacramento Republic 57%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Sacramento Republic 29%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.36. Sacramento Republic: 10.7 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.4.
Match halves
Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.79. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-3-1. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Match description
Sacramento holds a clear home advantage: the hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.59 and concede 1.00, while Phoenix on the road scores 1.00 goals on average, has xG 1.21 and concedes 1.5. The visitors have been impressive offensively in the short term — 10 goals in the last 5 matches versus Sacramento’s 8, and they average 1.8 points per match in that period compared to the hosts’ 1.6. However, Sacramento’s key advantages are game control and the quality of chances created: 58% possession, on average 11 shots and 4 on target at home versus 45% possession, 9 shots and 3.5 on target for Phoenix, which correlates with the higher home xG 1.59 vs the visitors’ 1.21. Additionally, Phoenix have yet to register an away win (0% away wins) and have no clean sheets on the road (0% clean sheets), whereas Sacramento win 33% of home matches and have a +1 goal differential at their stadium. Based on these numbers I predict a home victory and estimate probabilities of: 60% for Sacramento, 25% for a draw and 15% for Phoenix, due to superior xG, higher possession and lower average goals conceded by the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sacramento Republic is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Phoenix Rising is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Sacramento Republic is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.5 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
Over / Under — Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Phoenix Rising is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Sacramento Republic · 1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sacramento Republic
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sacramento Republic 1 - 3 - 1 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished Sacramento Republic 2:0 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 1, Phoenix Rising won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The statistical background for Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.