Lebanon - Lebanese Premier LeagueAl Safwa StadiumData current as of 23 July 2026

Safa vs Al Mabarrah: match statistics

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Safa vs Al Mabarrah: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Safa play Al Mabarrah in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 17 April 2026 at 14:30. Venue: Al Safwa Stadium.

Current form

Safa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Mabarrah: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Safa scores 1.43 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Al Mabarrah scores 0.50 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Safa 39%, Al Mabarrah 20%. Over 2.5: Safa 35%, Al Mabarrah 35%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Safa has higher xG: 1.02 vs 0.93. Safa: 5.7 shots per match, Al Mabarrah: 5.8.

Match halves

Safa: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.74. Al Mabarrah: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.30.

Goals by minute

Safa: 31-45+ (10 goals). Al Mabarrah: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match0.5
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.96Goals conceded / match1.8
SafaAl Mabarrah
48%Average possession44%
SafaAl Mabarrah
2.91Shots on target / match2.25
SafaAl Mabarrah

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.7Shots per match5.8
SafaAl Mabarrah
2.91Shots on target2.25
SafaAl Mabarrah
25.2%Shot conversion8.6%
SafaAl Mabarrah
48%Possession44%
SafaAl Mabarrah
1.02xG for0.93
SafaAl Mabarrah
1.13xG against1.38
SafaAl Mabarrah

Shooting quality

Safa: Efficient finishingAl Mabarrah: Balanced
SafaAl Mabarrah
Accuracy (shots on target)51%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Safa
WWLDW
Season result split
52% W13% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-3-8
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Al Mabarrah
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-6-10
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -26
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-7
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 4.2xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Safa is 186% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Safa · 0.5 goals / match - Al Mabarrah

Safa is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.96 goals / match - Safa · 1.8 goals / match - Al Mabarrah

Safa scoring profile: strong

Safa scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Al Mabarrah keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

Al Mabarrah scoring profile: mixed

Al Mabarrah scores in 35% of matches (7 of 20 matches), while Safa keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).

33Goals scored (season)10
SafaAl Mabarrah
22Goals conceded (season)36
SafaAl Mabarrah
2.39Average goals in match2.3
SafaAl Mabarrah
11Goals scored (last 5)2
SafaAl Mabarrah
7Goals conceded (last 5)21
SafaAl Mabarrah

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal35%
SafaAl Mabarrah
39%2 goals15%
SafaAl Mabarrah
13%3 goals0%
SafaAl Mabarrah
13%4 goals0%
SafaAl Mabarrah

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal65%
SafaAl Mabarrah
13%2 goals50%
SafaAl Mabarrah
9%3 goals25%
SafaAl Mabarrah
9%4 goals20%
SafaAl Mabarrah

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

4%BTTS at half-time10%
SafaAl Mabarrah
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SafaAl Mabarrah
30%Scored in both halves15%
SafaAl Mabarrah

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
SafaAl Mabarrah
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
SafaAl Mabarrah
60%BTTS - last 520%
SafaAl Mabarrah

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
SafaAl Mabarrah
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
SafaAl Mabarrah
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
SafaAl Mabarrah

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
SafaAl Mabarrah
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
SafaAl Mabarrah
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
SafaAl Mabarrah

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Safa is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.61 pts / match - Safa · 0.7 pts / match - Al Mabarrah

Safa - half-time state
35% leading57% draw9% trailing
Al Mabarrah - half-time state
10% leading40% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.61Points per match (1st half)0.7
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.2
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)1.1
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.87Average goals (1st half)1.3
SafaAl Mabarrah
91%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SafaAl Mabarrah
61%No goal before half-time80%
SafaAl Mabarrah

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.15
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.3
SafaAl Mabarrah
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
SafaAl Mabarrah
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1
SafaAl Mabarrah
35%Clean sheet after half-time60%
SafaAl Mabarrah
39%No goal after half-time70%
SafaAl Mabarrah

Safa - second-half results

39% W22% R39% P
37
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Mabarrah - second-half results

25% W40% R35% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-18
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Safa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Al Mabarrah - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match2.61.6
Average goals in match2.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-12-7
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Safa
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
10
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
3
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Al Mabarrah
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
0
6
16-30
4
10
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.34
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Safa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Al Mabarrah

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).

Teams vs league

SafaLigaAl Mabarrah
Average goals in match 2.392.44 2.30
Both teams scored 39%33% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 35%43% 35%
Clean sheets 35%39% 35%
Goal before half-time 43%57% 60%
Goal after half-time 91%77% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
33%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Safa 0 - 0 - 1 Al Mabarrah. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Safa and Al Mabarrah play?

Safa face Al Mabarrah on 17 April 2026 in Lebanese Premier League at Al Safwa Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Safa vs Al Mabarrah?

Safa score 1.43 goals per game on average and Al Mabarrah 0.50. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Safa's matches and 20% of Al Mabarrah's.

What form are Safa and Al Mabarrah in?

Over the last 5 games Safa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Mabarrah 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Safa vs Al Mabarrah?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.