Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon: match statistics
This match promises to be very evenly contested, justifying a draw prediction. Sagaing United holds a solid home record with a 40% win rate and a goal difference of 0, while their recent form (1.4 points per match) is slightly better than the visitors'. Yadanarbon presents a better overall season record (27 goals scored vs 17 for the hosts) and a positive away balance (+4); however, poor efficiency on the road (60% FTS%) and only 40% of away matches won limit their advantage. A key factor is the high average goal count in the hosts' matches (4.4 goals), suggesting an open game, yet neither team has shown stable form recently. Given the balanced xG statistics and similar possession metrics, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this meeting.
Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sagaing United play Yadanarbon in National League (Myanmar (Burma)). The match date is 13 January 2026 at 10:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sagaing United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Yadanarbon: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sagaing United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.95 goals per match. Yadanarbon scores 1.73 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sagaing United 68%, Yadanarbon 68%. Over 2.5: Sagaing United 77%, Yadanarbon 64%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Sagaing United has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.63. Sagaing United: 8.3 shots per match, Yadanarbon: 10.8.
Match halves
Sagaing United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.95. Yadanarbon: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Sagaing United: 61-75 (12 goals). Yadanarbon: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
This match promises to be very evenly contested, justifying a draw prediction. Sagaing United holds a solid home record with a 40% win rate and a goal difference of 0, while their recent form (1.4 points per match) is slightly better than the visitors'. Yadanarbon presents a better overall season record (27 goals scored vs 17 for the hosts) and a positive away balance (+4); however, poor efficiency on the road (60% FTS%) and only 40% of away matches won limit their advantage. A key factor is the high average goal count in the hosts' matches (4.4 goals), suggesting an open game, yet neither team has shown stable form recently. Given the balanced xG statistics and similar possession metrics, a draw appears to be the most probable result of this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sagaing United | Yadanarbon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sagaing United is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sagaing United · 1.2 pts / match - Yadanarbon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sagaing United is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Sagaing United · 1.73 goals / match - Yadanarbon
Yadanarbon is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.95 goals / match - Sagaing United · 1.73 goals / match - Yadanarbon
Sagaing United scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Yadanarbon keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Yadanarbon scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Sagaing United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sagaing United
Over / Under — Yadanarbon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yadanarbon is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Sagaing United · 1.41 pts / match - Yadanarbon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sagaing United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Yadanarbon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sagaing United
Yadanarbon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Sagaing United | Liga | Yadanarbon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.77 | 3.56 | ▼ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 69% | ▼ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 27% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sagaing United 0 - 0 - 1 Yadanarbon. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon?
The National League match finished Sagaing United 2:1 Yadanarbon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon?
Sagaing United score 1.82 goals per game on average and Yadanarbon 1.73. The National League average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Sagaing United's matches and 68% of Yadanarbon's.
What form are Sagaing United and Yadanarbon in?
Over the last 5 games Sagaing United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Yadanarbon 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sagaing United vs Yadanarbon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.