San Antonio vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
San Antonio vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
San Antonio play CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
San Antonio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
San Antonio scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: San Antonio 53%, CD El Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: San Antonio 29%, CD El Nacional 47%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.19. San Antonio: 10.3 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 9.8.
Match halves
San Antonio: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
San Antonio: 76-90+ (5 goals). CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the home win (1): San Antonio average 2.0 goals per home match with average xG 1.42 versus just 0.8 goals and xG 0.89 for CD El Nacional away. The hosts generate significantly more chances — 12.25 shots and 5.5 on target at home vs 6 shots and 3.25 on target for the visitors, with conversion rates of 16% vs 13%, translating into a clear offensive edge. Defensively San Antonio concedes 1.25 goals at home on average (xG against 1.16), while El Nacional concedes 2.0 goals away (xG against 1.84), and in the last 5 matches the visitors have shipped 10 goals compared to 6 conceded by the hosts. Form trends also favor the home side: San Antonio has 1.2 points per game in their last five, 0% home losses and 75% draws at their stadium, whereas El Nacional has only 0.2 points per game in their last five and 0% away wins. For these reasons I assign 60% to a San Antonio win, a moderate 30% to a draw (due to the hosts' 75% draw rate) and only 10% to an El Nacional victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| San Antonio | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Antonio is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - San Antonio · 0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Antonio is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - San Antonio · 0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional
San Antonio is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - San Antonio · 1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional
San Antonio scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — San Antonio
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
San Antonio is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - San Antonio · 0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
San Antonio
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| San Antonio | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 1.94 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of San Antonio vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished San Antonio 1:0 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before San Antonio vs CD El Nacional?
San Antonio score 1.18 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.59. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 53% of San Antonio's matches and 59% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are San Antonio and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games San Antonio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and CD El Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for San Antonio vs CD El Nacional?
The statistical background for San Antonio vs CD El Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.