Santa Clara vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Santa Clara vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Santa Clara play CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 21:15. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Santa Clara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. CD Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Santa Clara scores 0.94 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.09 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Santa Clara 41%, CD Nacional 47%. Over 2.5: Santa Clara 35%, CD Nacional 41%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.25. Santa Clara: 11.7 shots per match, CD Nacional: 12.6.
Match halves
Santa Clara: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.56. CD Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Santa Clara: 76-90+ (12 goals). CD Nacional: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a draw, because both teams show similar offensive and defensive metrics: Santa Clara at home averages 0.94 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per match, while CD Nacional away scores 0.88 and concedes 1.25. In the last 5 matches Santa has a record of 1-2-2, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (averaging 1 point per game), whereas Nacional has won 3 and lost 2, also scoring 6 but conceding only 4 (averaging 1.8 points). The visitors register more shots on target (4.44 vs 3.31) and have a higher away xG per match (1.37 vs 1.29), but xG against Nacional is higher (1.55 vs 1.04 against Santa), indicating susceptibility to counterattacks. Santa, however, has a better seasonal home clean sheet rate (38% vs 19% for Nacional away) and a slightly higher home conversion rate (8% vs 7%), although the hosts fail to score in 38% of their home games. Considering the visitors’ better form (1.8 points vs 1.0) and both teams’ generally low shots-to-goal ratios, a draw appears the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Santa Clara | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Santa Clara · 1.8 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Santa Clara · 1.09 goals / match - CD Nacional
Santa Clara is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Santa Clara · 1.32 goals / match - CD Nacional
Santa Clara scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Santa Clara
Over / Under — CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Santa Clara · 1.18 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Santa Clara
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Santa Clara | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Santa Clara 0 - 1 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Santa Clara vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Santa Clara 2:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Santa Clara vs CD Nacional?
Santa Clara score 0.94 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.09. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Santa Clara's matches and 47% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Santa Clara and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Santa Clara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Nacional 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santa Clara vs CD Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Santa Clara vs CD Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.