Brazil - Serie AEstádio Urbano CaldeiraData current as of October 20, 2026

Santos vs Bahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Santos vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Santos plays Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira.

Recent form

Santos has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bahia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Santos scores 1.55 goals per game and allows 1.48. Bahia scores 1.42 and allows 1.26. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of Santos's games and 61% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 52%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bahia has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.44 per game. Santos takes 13.4 shots per game, while Bahia takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Santos leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.61 after halftime.

When the teams score

Santos's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.25)
(3.40)
(3.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.55Goals scored / game1.42
SantosBahia
1.48Goals allowed / game1.26
SantosBahia
50%Average possession54%
SantosBahia
4Shots on target / game4.71
SantosBahia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.42Shots per game14.23
SantosBahia
4Shots on target4.71
SantosBahia
11.5%Shot conversion10%
SantosBahia
50%Possession54%
SantosBahia
1.44xG for1.56
SantosBahia
1.47xG against1.62
SantosBahia

Shooting quality

Santos: BalancedBahia: Attacking
SantosBahia
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Santos is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Santos · 1.2 pts / game - Bahia

Santos
WWDLW
Season result split
39% W29% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-10
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DLDWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Bahia
WLLWL
Season result split
42% W32% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-10-8
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Santos is 9% better for: goals scored per game.

1.55 goals / game - Santos · 1.42 goals / game - Bahia

Bahia is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.48 goals / game - Santos · 1.26 goals / game - Bahia

Santos scoring profile: very strong

Santos scores in 90% of games (28 of 31 games), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (9 of 31 games).

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 games), while Santos keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 games).

48Goals scored (season)44
SantosBahia
46Goals conceded (season)39
SantosBahia
3.03Average goals per game2.68
SantosBahia
9Goals scored (last 5)4
SantosBahia
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
SantosBahia

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal84%
SantosBahia
55%2 goals45%
SantosBahia
10%3 goals13%
SantosBahia
0%4 goals0%
SantosBahia

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal71%
SantosBahia
48%2 goals39%
SantosBahia
16%3 goals13%
SantosBahia
3%4 goals3%
SantosBahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time29%
SantosBahia
10%BTTS in both halves3%
SantosBahia
29%Scored in both halves16%
SantosBahia

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
SantosBahia
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
SantosBahia
100%BTTS - last 540%
SantosBahia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
SantosBahia
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
SantosBahia
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
SantosBahia

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
SantosBahia
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
SantosBahia
35%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
SantosBahia

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Santos - half-time state
32% leading45% draw23% trailing
Bahia - half-time state
35% leading35% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per game (1st half)1.42
SantosBahia
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.81
SantosBahia
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
SantosBahia
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.45
SantosBahia
55%Clean sheet before half-time42%
SantosBahia
45%No goal before half-time45%
SantosBahia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per game (2nd half)1.32
SantosBahia
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
SantosBahia
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
SantosBahia
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.23
SantosBahia
45%Clean sheet after half-time61%
SantosBahia
35%No goal after half-time55%
SantosBahia

Santos - second-half results

39% W19% D42% L
44
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bahia - second-half results

29% W45% D26% L
44
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Santos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.40
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.02.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Bahia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Santos
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
8
6
16-30
11
8
31-45
10
5
46-60
5
9
61-75
12
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
8
7
16-30
14
7
31-45
4
5
46-60
5
8
61-75
10
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Santos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

SantosLigaBahia
Average goals per game▲ 3.032.66• 2.68
Both teams scored▲ 74%59%▲ 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 68%51%• 52%
Clean sheets▼ 19%23%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%74%▲ 84%
Goal after half-time▲ 84%79%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.14
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Santos's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss against Bahia. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Bahia
2 : 2
Santos
EC Bahia
2 : 0
Santos FC Sao Paulo
Santos FC Sao Paulo
2 : 2
EC Bahia

FAQ

When do Santos and Bahia play?

Santos face Bahia on October 25, 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Bahia?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 0, Bahia won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Santos vs Bahia?

Santos score 1.55 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.42. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Santos's matches and 61% of Bahia's.

What form are Santos and Bahia in?

Over the last 5 games Santos have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bahia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Santos vs Bahia?

The statistical background for Santos vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.