São Bernardo vs Ceará: match statistics
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São Bernardo vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Bernardo play Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco.
Current form
São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ceará: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Ceará scores 0.84 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Bernardo 56%, Ceará 47%. Over 2.5: São Bernardo 44%, Ceará 26%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ceará has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.22. São Bernardo: 11.4 shots per match, Ceará: 13.7.
Match halves
São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Ceará: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). Ceará: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Bernardo | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Bernardo is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo · 0.84 goals / match - Ceará
São Bernardo is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1.16 goals / match - Ceará
São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Ceará scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — São Bernardo
Over / Under — Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ceará is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.11 pts / match - Ceará
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Bernardo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Bernardo
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| São Bernardo | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.28 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 42% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: São Bernardo 0 - 1 - 0 Ceará. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do São Bernardo and Ceará play?
São Bernardo face Ceará on 26 July 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Ceará?
São Bernardo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Ceará 0.84. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of São Bernardo's matches and 47% of Ceará's.
What form are São Bernardo and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ceará 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Ceará?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.