São Bernardo vs Fortaleza: match statistics
São Bernardo vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
São Bernardo play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: São Bernardo 56%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: São Bernardo 44%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.22. São Bernardo: 11.4 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
São Bernardo has a clear home offensive edge: on average 16 shots, 5 shots on target and xG 1.67, translating to 1.0 goal per game; Fortaleza away averages 7 shots, 0 shots on target, xG 0.69 and 0.0 goals scored (percentage of games without a goal 100%). In the last 5 matches Fortaleza records 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss with an average of 2.0 points per game, while São Bernardo has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss with 1.6 points per game, but the visitors' form advantage does not compensate for their poor away performance. Defensively both teams are vulnerable to goals, however Fortaleza concedes on average 4.0 goals away with xG against 1.66, and São Bernardo concedes 2.0 goals at home with xG against 1.61, which gives the hosts greater stability. Considering the hosts’ clearly superior chance creation and higher xG and the visitors’ lack of shots on target and goals away, I predict a São Bernardo win; suggested probability distribution is approximately 68% for the home side, 18% for a draw and 14% for the away side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| São Bernardo | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
São Bernardo is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
São Bernardo is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - São Bernardo · 1 goals / match - Fortaleza
São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — São Bernardo
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo · 1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Bernardo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
São Bernardo
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| São Bernardo | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.28 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of São Bernardo vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished São Bernardo 0:1 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Fortaleza?
São Bernardo score 1.33 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of São Bernardo's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are São Bernardo and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Fortaleza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for São Bernardo vs Fortaleza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.