Brazil - Serie BEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo BrancoData current as of October 21, 2026

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: match statistics

Reasoning:

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São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

São Bernardo plays Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco.

Recent form

São Bernardo has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Vila Nova has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

São Bernardo scores 1.35 goals per game and allows 1.09. Vila Nova scores 1.41 and allows 0.97. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of São Bernardo's games and 38% of Vila Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 35%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Vila Nova has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.31 per game. São Bernardo takes 12.3 shots per game, while Vila Nova takes 13.5.

First-half and second-half trends

São Bernardo leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. Vila Nova leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.68 after halftime.

When the teams score

São Bernardo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Vila Nova, it is minutes 61-75 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.40)
(3.08)
(2.97)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

São BernardoVila Nova
1.35Goals scored / game1.41
São BernardoVila Nova
1.09Goals allowed / game0.97
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Average possession51%
São BernardoVila Nova
4.26Shots on target / game4.26
São BernardoVila Nova

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.29Shots per game13.47
São BernardoVila Nova
4.26Shots on target4.26
São BernardoVila Nova
11%Shot conversion10.5%
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Possession51%
São BernardoVila Nova
1.31xG for1.45
São BernardoVila Nova
1.62xG against1.28
São BernardoVila Nova

Shooting quality

São Bernardo: BalancedVila Nova: Balanced
São BernardoVila Nova
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Vila Nova is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - São Bernardo · 2.2 pts / game - Vila Nova

São Bernardo
DWLDL
Season result split
35% W29% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-12
1.35 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Vila Nova
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
53% W24% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-8-8
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-4-7
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vila Nova is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.09 goals / game - São Bernardo · 0.97 goals / game - Vila Nova

São Bernardo scoring profile: strong

São Bernardo scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 games), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 games).

Vila Nova scoring profile: very strong

Vila Nova scores in 74% of games (25 of 34 games), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 games).

46Goals scored (season)48
São BernardoVila Nova
37Goals conceded (season)33
São BernardoVila Nova
2.44Average goals per game2.38
São BernardoVila Nova
6Goals scored (last 5)7
São BernardoVila Nova
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
São BernardoVila Nova

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal74%
São BernardoVila Nova
35%2 goals47%
São BernardoVila Nova
21%3 goals9%
São BernardoVila Nova
0%4 goals6%
São BernardoVila Nova

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal59%
São BernardoVila Nova
29%2 goals24%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%3 goals9%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%4 goals3%
São BernardoVila Nova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
São BernardoVila Nova
6%BTTS in both halves0%
São BernardoVila Nova
21%Scored in both halves21%
São BernardoVila Nova

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
São BernardoVila Nova
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
São BernardoVila Nova
60%BTTS - last 520%
São BernardoVila Nova

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
São BernardoVila Nova
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
São BernardoVila Nova
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
São BernardoVila Nova

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
São BernardoVila Nova
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
São BernardoVila Nova
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
São BernardoVila Nova

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vila Nova is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.12 pts / game - São Bernardo · 1.47 pts / game - Vila Nova

São Bernardo - half-time state
18% leading59% draw24% trailing
Vila Nova - half-time state
38% leading32% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per game (1st half)1.47
São BernardoVila Nova
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.74
São BernardoVila Nova
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
São BernardoVila Nova
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.29
São BernardoVila Nova
53%Clean sheet before half-time59%
São BernardoVila Nova
59%No goal before half-time50%
São BernardoVila Nova

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per game (2nd half)1.5
São BernardoVila Nova
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)0.68
São BernardoVila Nova
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.41
São BernardoVila Nova
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.09
São BernardoVila Nova
50%Clean sheet after half-time65%
São BernardoVila Nova
41%No goal after half-time56%
São BernardoVila Nova

São Bernardo - second-half results

38% W38% D24% L
38
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Vila Nova - second-half results

35% W44% D21% L
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

São Bernardo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Vila Nova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.80
Goals scored / game0.80.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

São Bernardo
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
12
3
46-60
4
10
61-75
14
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Vila Nova
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
7
5
16-30
11
9
31-45
4
1
46-60
14
2
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

São Bernardo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Vila Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
141%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

São BernardoLigaVila Nova
Average goals per game▲ 2.442.33• 2.38
Both teams scored▲ 59%47%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 47%43%▼ 35%
Clean sheets▼ 26%31%▲ 41%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%67%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%74%▼ 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.00
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from São Bernardo's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vila Nova. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do São Bernardo and Vila Nova play?

São Bernardo face Vila Nova on October 24, 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

São Bernardo score 1.35 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.41. The Serie B average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of São Bernardo's matches and 38% of Vila Nova's.

What form are São Bernardo and Vila Nova in?

Over the last 5 games São Bernardo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Bernardo vs Vila Nova?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for São Bernardo vs Vila Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.