São Paulo vs Palmeiras: match statistics
São Paulo showcases impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches), averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded per game. The hosts also stand out with defensive solidity, boasting 67% clean sheets at home and a positive xG balance (1.63 vs 1.0). Palmeiras, despite leading the table and having better overall form (2.4 PPG), shows clear issues in away matches – only 33% wins, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 1.67 goals conceded per game. Palmeiras' recent away fixtures (draw-win-loss) confirm their instability, while São Paulo consistently wins at home. Considering the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and Palmeiras' weaker away performance, I predict a São Paulo victory, although the high quality of the visitors means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
São Paulo vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
São Paulo played against Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
São Paulo has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Palmeiras has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
São Paulo scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 0.57. Palmeiras scores 2.29 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of São Paulo's games and 86% of Palmeiras's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 86%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palmeiras has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.24 per game. São Paulo takes 11.3 shots per game, while Palmeiras takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
São Paulo leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Palmeiras leads at halftime in 71% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
São Paulo's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Palmeiras, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
São Paulo showcases impressive home form with a 100% record (3 wins in 3 matches), averaging 2 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded per game. The hosts also stand out with defensive solidity, boasting 67% clean sheets at home and a positive xG balance (1.63 vs 1.0). Palmeiras, despite leading the table and having better overall form (2.4 PPG), shows clear issues in away matches – only 33% wins, 0% clean sheets, and an average of 1.67 goals conceded per game. Palmeiras' recent away fixtures (draw-win-loss) confirm their instability, while São Paulo consistently wins at home. Considering the hosts' advantage at their own stadium and Palmeiras' weaker away performance, I predict a São Paulo victory, although the high quality of the visitors means a draw also remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| São Paulo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - São Paulo · 2.29 goals / game - Palmeiras
São Paulo is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.57 goals / game - São Paulo · 1.14 goals / game - Palmeiras
São Paulo scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Palmeiras scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - São Paulo
Over / Under - Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 143% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - São Paulo · 2.43 pts / game - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
São Paulo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
São Paulo
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| São Paulo | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 47% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 78% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from São Paulo's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Palmeiras. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished São Paulo 0:1 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between São Paulo and Palmeiras?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 0, Palmeiras won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
São Paulo score 1.43 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 2.29. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of São Paulo's matches and 86% of Palmeiras's.
What form are São Paulo and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games São Paulo have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Palmeiras 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for São Paulo vs Palmeiras?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.