Sarajevo vs Velež: match statistics
Sarajevo display dominant home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +15. The hosts have not lost a single match at their own ground this season, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their fixtures. Despite Velež's recent good form (4 wins in 5 matches), they struggle away from home, losing 46% of their away games and failing to score in 46% of cases. The xG statistics also favor Sarajevo (1.55 vs 1.12), indicating a higher quality of chances created. Although Velež are in good shape, Sarajevo's home advantage should be decisive in this encounter.
Sarajevo vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sarajevo played against Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Sarajevo has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Velež has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Sarajevo scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.12. Velež scores 0.92 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.12 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Sarajevo's games and 36% of Velež's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 32%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sarajevo has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.33 per game. Sarajevo takes 11.2 shots per game, while Velež takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Sarajevo leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Velež leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sarajevo's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Velež, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.12 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sarajevo display dominant home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +15. The hosts have not lost a single match at their own ground this season, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their fixtures. Despite Velež's recent good form (4 wins in 5 matches), they struggle away from home, losing 46% of their away games and failing to score in 46% of cases. The xG statistics also favor Sarajevo (1.55 vs 1.12), indicating a higher quality of chances created. Although Velež are in good shape, Sarajevo's home advantage should be decisive in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sarajevo | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Velež is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sarajevo · 1.8 pts / game - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarajevo is 48% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Sarajevo · 0.92 goals / game - Velež
Velež is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.12 goals / game - Sarajevo · 0.88 goals / game - Velež
Sarajevo scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
Velež scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 meczów), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sarajevo
Over / Under - Velež
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarajevo is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Sarajevo · 1.04 pts / game - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sarajevo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sarajevo
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Sarajevo | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.48 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 37% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 37% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sarajevo's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Velež. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sarajevo vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Sarajevo 1:0 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sarajevo and Velež?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 1, Velež won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sarajevo vs Velež?
Sarajevo score 1.36 goals per game on average and Velež 0.92. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Sarajevo's matches and 36% of Velež's.
What form are Sarajevo and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Sarajevo have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Velež 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarajevo vs Velež?
The statistical background for Sarajevo vs Velež — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.