Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio Eva Perón de JunínData current as of October 14, 2026

Sarmiento vs River Plate: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sarmiento vs River Plate: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sarmiento plays River Plate in Primera División (Argentina). The game is scheduled for October 14, 2026. Venue: Estadio Eva Perón de Junín.

Recent form

Sarmiento has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. River Plate has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Sarmiento scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.37. River Plate scores 1.39 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.16 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Sarmiento's games and 39% of River Plate's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 39%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

River Plate has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.25 per game. Sarmiento takes 10.6 shots per game, while River Plate takes 16.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Sarmiento leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. River Plate leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sarmiento's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For River Plate, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.16 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.10)
(3.35)
(1.71)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

SarmientoRiver Plate
1.22Goals scored / game1.39
SarmientoRiver Plate
1.37Goals allowed / game0.94
SarmientoRiver Plate
44%Average possession65%
SarmientoRiver Plate
3.78Shots on target / game5.39
SarmientoRiver Plate

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.63Shots per game16.61
SarmientoRiver Plate
3.78Shots on target5.39
SarmientoRiver Plate
11.5%Shot conversion8.3%
SarmientoRiver Plate
44%Possession65%
SarmientoRiver Plate
1.25xG for1.85
SarmientoRiver Plate
1.72xG against1.02
SarmientoRiver Plate

Shooting quality

Sarmiento: BalancedRiver Plate: Dominant
SarmientoRiver Plate
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

River Plate is 71% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Sarmiento · 2.4 pts / game - River Plate

Sarmiento
LWDLW
Season result split
44% W7% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-13
1.41 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
River Plate
WWWLW
Season result split
52% W13% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-4-11
1.68 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

River Plate is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - Sarmiento · 1.39 goals / game - River Plate

River Plate is 46% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.37 goals / game - Sarmiento · 0.94 goals / game - River Plate

Sarmiento scoring profile: strong

Sarmiento scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 games), while River Plate keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 games).

River Plate scoring profile: strong

River Plate scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 games), while Sarmiento keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 games).

33Goals scored (season)43
SarmientoRiver Plate
37Goals conceded (season)29
SarmientoRiver Plate
2.59Average goals per game2.32
SarmientoRiver Plate
8Goals scored (last 5)10
SarmientoRiver Plate
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
SarmientoRiver Plate

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal71%
SarmientoRiver Plate
41%2 goals52%
SarmientoRiver Plate
4%3 goals16%
SarmientoRiver Plate
0%4 goals0%
SarmientoRiver Plate

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal65%
SarmientoRiver Plate
37%2 goals19%
SarmientoRiver Plate
22%3 goals6%
SarmientoRiver Plate
7%4 goals3%
SarmientoRiver Plate

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time16%
SarmientoRiver Plate
0%BTTS in both halves6%
SarmientoRiver Plate
22%Scored in both halves45%
SarmientoRiver Plate

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
SarmientoRiver Plate
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
SarmientoRiver Plate
80%BTTS - last 580%
SarmientoRiver Plate

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
SarmientoRiver Plate
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
SarmientoRiver Plate
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SarmientoRiver Plate

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
SarmientoRiver Plate
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
SarmientoRiver Plate
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
SarmientoRiver Plate

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sarmiento is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / game - Sarmiento · 1.52 pts / game - River Plate

Sarmiento - half-time state
44% leading30% draw26% trailing
River Plate - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per game (1st half)1.52
SarmientoRiver Plate
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.61
SarmientoRiver Plate
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
SarmientoRiver Plate
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.06
SarmientoRiver Plate
63%Clean sheet before half-time58%
SarmientoRiver Plate
48%No goal before half-time45%
SarmientoRiver Plate

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.65
SarmientoRiver Plate
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
SarmientoRiver Plate
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
SarmientoRiver Plate
1.52Average goals (2nd half)1.26
SarmientoRiver Plate
37%Clean sheet after half-time65%
SarmientoRiver Plate
52%No goal after half-time39%
SarmientoRiver Plate

Sarmiento - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

River Plate - second-half results

42% W39% D19% L
47
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sarmiento - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.42.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
River Plate - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.20
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sarmiento
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
2
9
46-60
5
6
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

River Plate
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
6
16-30
10
5
31-45
8
1
46-60
6
5
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sarmiento

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

River Plate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.83
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

SarmientoLigaRiver Plate
Average goals per game▲ 2.592.16▲ 2.32
Both teams scored▲ 52%47%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%38%• 39%
Clean sheets▼ 30%33%▲ 35%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%61%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time▲ 81%73%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / game
0.94
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sarmiento's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss against River Plate. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

River Plate
2 : 0
Sarmiento
CA River Plate
0 : 1
CA Sarmiento
CA Sarmiento
1 : 1
CA River Plate
River Plate
1 : 1
Sarmiento

FAQ

When do Sarmiento and River Plate play?

Sarmiento face River Plate on October 14, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Eva Perón de Junín. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento and River Plate?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1, River Plate won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sarmiento vs River Plate?

Sarmiento score 1.22 goals per game on average and River Plate 1.39. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sarmiento's matches and 39% of River Plate's.

What form are Sarmiento and River Plate in?

Over the last 5 games Sarmiento have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and River Plate 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sarmiento vs River Plate?

The statistical background for Sarmiento vs River Plate — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.