Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 22 July 2026

SC Villa vs UPDF: match statistics

SC Villa crest
SC Villa
2 : 1half-time 2:0
UPDF crest
UPDF

SC Villa vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

SC Villa play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

SC Villa: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

SC Villa scores 1.52 and concedes 0.59 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.09 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: SC Villa 38%, UPDF 40%. Over 2.5: SC Villa 38%, UPDF 40%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

UPDF has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.42. SC Villa: 9.9 shots per match, UPDF: 10.8.

Match halves

SC Villa: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79. UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

SC Villa: 0-15 (11 goals). UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

SC Villa has a clear statistical edge: at home they concede only 0.36 goals per match on average and keep a clean sheet in 64% of games, while UPDF score 0.93 goals on average as visitors and have only 21% of matches without conceding. The hosts average 1.71 goals at home and register 4.38 shots on target per game with a 16% conversion rate, whereas the visitors manage only 3.62 shots on target and an 8% conversion, translating to lower attacking efficiency. In the last 5 matches SC Villa scored 8 goals and averaged 2 points per game, while UPDF have just 1 goal in their last five and 0.4 points per game, highlighting the hosts’ form advantage. Interestingly, the visitors’ average xG on the road is 1.56 versus 1.46 for the home side, but the lower conversion (8% vs 16%) and the high share of matches without scoring by UPDF (50% FTS) suggest the visitors will not capitalize on their chances. Considering the defensive differential (0.36 goals conceded at home by the hosts vs 1.79 conceded by UPDF away) along with the superiority in efficiency and form stability, I forecast an SC Villa victory.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
SC VillaUPDF
10Shots9
SC VillaUPDF
6Shots on target2
SC VillaUPDF
1.53xG1.12
SC VillaUPDF
6Corners2
SC VillaUPDF
67Dangerous attacks57
SC VillaUPDF
8Fouls6
SC VillaUPDF
0Cards0
SC VillaUPDF

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.52Goals scored / match0.8
SC VillaUPDF
0.59Goals conceded / match1.37
SC VillaUPDF
50%Average possession50%
SC VillaUPDF
3.69Shots on target / match3.1
SC VillaUPDF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.93Shots per match10.77
SC VillaUPDF
3.69Shots on target3.1
SC VillaUPDF
15.3%Shot conversion7.4%
SC VillaUPDF
50%Possession50%
SC VillaUPDF
1.42xG for1.53
SC VillaUPDF
1.22xG against1.32
SC VillaUPDF

Shooting quality

SC Villa: Efficient finishingUPDF: Balanced
SC VillaUPDF
Accuracy (shots on target)37%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

SC Villa is 900% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - SC Villa · 0.2 pts / match - UPDF

SC Villa
LDWWW
Season result split
59% W24% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-5
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
UPDF
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W23% R60% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-18
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 90% better for: goals scored per match.

1.52 goals / match - SC Villa · 0.8 goals / match - UPDF

SC Villa is 132% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.59 goals / match - SC Villa · 1.37 goals / match - UPDF

SC Villa scoring profile: very strong

SC Villa scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).

UPDF scoring profile: more difficult

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).

44Goals scored (season)24
SC VillaUPDF
17Goals conceded (season)41
SC VillaUPDF
2.1Average goals in match2.17
SC VillaUPDF
9Goals scored (last 5)2
SC VillaUPDF
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
SC VillaUPDF

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal50%
SC VillaUPDF
38%2 goals17%
SC VillaUPDF
21%3 goals7%
SC VillaUPDF
10%4 goals3%
SC VillaUPDF

How often they concede at least...

48%1 goal73%
SC VillaUPDF
10%2 goals43%
SC VillaUPDF
0%3 goals10%
SC VillaUPDF
0%4 goals7%
SC VillaUPDF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
SC VillaUPDF
0%BTTS in both halves10%
SC VillaUPDF
21%Scored in both halves17%
SC VillaUPDF

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
SC VillaUPDF
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
SC VillaUPDF
60%BTTS - last 540%
SC VillaUPDF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
SC VillaUPDF
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
SC VillaUPDF
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
SC VillaUPDF

2nd half

59%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
SC VillaUPDF
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
SC VillaUPDF
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
SC VillaUPDF

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - SC Villa · 0.87 pts / match - UPDF

SC Villa - half-time state
38% leading41% draw21% trailing
UPDF - half-time state
13% leading47% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)0.87
SC VillaUPDF
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.37
SC VillaUPDF
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
SC VillaUPDF
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.1
SC VillaUPDF
79%Clean sheet before half-time50%
SC VillaUPDF
62%No goal before half-time73%
SC VillaUPDF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.72Points per match (2nd half)1.07
SC VillaUPDF
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
SC VillaUPDF
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
SC VillaUPDF
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.07
SC VillaUPDF
69%Clean sheet after half-time53%
SC VillaUPDF
45%No goal after half-time60%
SC VillaUPDF

SC Villa - second-half results

38% W59% R3% P
45
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

UPDF - second-half results

20% W47% R33% P
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.87
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

SC Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
11
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
7
0
46-60
10
5
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
2
4
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-53%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.73
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

SC VillaLigaUPDF
Average goals in match 2.102.09 2.17
Both teams scored 38%38% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%35% 40%
Clean sheets 52%39% 27%
Goal before half-time 59%59% 60%
Goal after half-time 59%62% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.09
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: SC Villa 1 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of SC Villa vs UPDF?

The Uganda Premier League match finished SC Villa 2:1 UPDF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs UPDF?

SC Villa score 1.52 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.80. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 38% of SC Villa's matches and 40% of UPDF's.

What form are SC Villa and UPDF in?

Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and UPDF 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs UPDF?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SC Villa vs UPDF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.