Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most probable result. Sheger Ketema displays an exceptionally defensive posture at home with 70% draws in home matches and just 10% wins, confirmed by a streak of 4 draws in their last 5 matches. Ethiopian Medhin as a guest also frequently shares points (30% draws) and holds an advantage in possession (54% vs 46%), but suffers from poor scoring efficiency (0.9 goals per match). Both teams have comparable xG indicators (1.06 vs 1.28) and a similar percentage of games without scoring (50%), suggesting low offensive effectiveness. The host rarely loses at home (20%) but wins just as rarely, and the visitors have better scoring form away, which should balance the chances. Considering the defensive nature of the hosts' game and the average form of both teams, a draw seems the most logical outcome of this meeting.
Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 3 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Ethiopian Medhin 43%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Ethiopian Medhin 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.11. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a draw as the most probable result. Sheger Ketema displays an exceptionally defensive posture at home with 70% draws in home matches and just 10% wins, confirmed by a streak of 4 draws in their last 5 matches. Ethiopian Medhin as a guest also frequently shares points (30% draws) and holds an advantage in possession (54% vs 46%), but suffers from poor scoring efficiency (0.9 goals per match). Both teams have comparable xG indicators (1.06 vs 1.28) and a similar percentage of games without scoring (50%), suggesting low offensive effectiveness. The host rarely loses at home (20%) but wins just as rarely, and the visitors have better scoring form away, which should balance the chances. Considering the defensive nature of the hosts' game and the average form of both teams, a draw seems the most logical outcome of this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:1 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.78. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.