Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
The analysis points to an evenly matched contest between two teams from the lower part of the table. Sheger Ketema displays solid home form with 73% draws and only 18% defeats at home, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. Their last five matches consist of a series of four draws and one win, confirming defensive stability. Kedus Giorgis struggles away from home with 55% losses and only 27% wins, and their form in the last five matches is poor (0.6 points per game). The hosts have an advantage in clean sheets (45% vs 18%) and a better goal difference at home (0 goal difference vs -5 for the visitors). Considering the hosts' tendency to draw and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sheger Ketema played against Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Sheger Ketema has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Kedus Giorgis has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.95. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.76 and allows 0.81. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Sheger Ketema's games and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 14%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kedus Giorgis has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.12 per game. Sheger Ketema takes 7.7 shots per game, while Kedus Giorgis takes 9.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Kedus Giorgis leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sheger Ketema's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Kedus Giorgis, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis points to an evenly matched contest between two teams from the lower part of the table. Sheger Ketema displays solid home form with 73% draws and only 18% defeats at home, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. Their last five matches consist of a series of four draws and one win, confirming defensive stability. Kedus Giorgis struggles away from home with 55% losses and only 27% wins, and their form in the last five matches is poor (0.6 points per game). The hosts have an advantage in clean sheets (45% vs 18%) and a better goal difference at home (0 goal difference vs -5 for the visitors). Considering the hosts' tendency to draw and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sheger Ketema is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.6 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.76 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Kedus Giorgis is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.95 goals / game - Sheger Ketema · 0.81 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Sheger Ketema scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 games), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 games).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 52% of games (11 of 21 games), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Sheger Ketema · 1.29 pts / game - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sheger Ketema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.81 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 58% | • 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sheger Ketema's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kedus Giorgis. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Sheger Ketema score 0.86 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.76. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.